Buccaneers vs. Bears prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win SNF Week 9 [2026]

Since our Buccaneers-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Buccaneers and Bears, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Bears a 72.7% chance of defeating the Buccaneers in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 27-20.

Key factors favoring the Bears:

• Bears team rating
• Bears offense
• Buccaneers QB situation

According to our model, the Bears (-6.5) have a 53.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Buccaneers +6.5 (-104) / Bears -6.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Buccaneers +251, Bears -257
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (+102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Bears -6.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Bears @ 72¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 47.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears -6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Buccaneers vs. Bears TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Bears?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 9, D'Andre Swift is most likely to score an anytime TD in Buccaneers vs. Bears.

Our projections give Swift a 63.5% chance of getting in for six at Soldier Field, while the running back is an 18.0% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Bucky Irving (RB): 45.3% probability
• Emeka Egbuka (WR): 26.9%
• Kenny Gainwell (RB): 19.8%
• Chris Godwin (WR): 19.7%
• Cade Otton (TE): 16.8%

Chicago Bears

• D'Andre Swift (RB): 63.5% prob.
• Luther Burden (WR): 32.6%
• Colston Loveland (TE): 32.1%
• Rome Odunze (WR): 27.7%
• Caleb Williams (QB): 20.6%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Bucky Irving (RB): 10.7% prob.
• Emeka Egbuka (WR): 5.5%
• Kenny Gainwell (RB): 3.9%
• Chris Godwin (WR): 3.9%
• Cade Otton (TE): 3.2%

Chicago Bears

• D'Andre Swift (RB): 18.0% prob.
• Luther Burden (WR): 7.1%
• Colston Loveland (TE): 6.9%
• Rome Odunze (WR): 5.8%
• Caleb Williams (QB): 4.1%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Buccaneers and Bears. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is projected for 210 passing yards. The Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 245 yards.

Buccaneers rushing

• Bucky Irving: 66 yds
• Kenny Gainwell: 27 yds
• Baker Mayfield: 24 yds

Bears rushing

• D'Andre Swift: 70 yds
• Caleb Williams: 23 yds
• Roschon Johnson: 18 yds

Buccaneers receiving

• Emeka Egbuka: 53 yds
• Chris Godwin: 38 yds
• Cade Otton: 32 yds
• Ted Hurst: 27 yds
• Tez Johnson: 21 yds

Bears receiving

• Luther Burden: 66 yds
• Colston Loveland: 55 yds
• Rome Odunze: 53 yds
• Kalif Raymond: 24 yds
• D'Andre Swift: 23 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 9 matchup between the Bears and Buccaneers at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 8:20 PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 8:20 PM ET/5:20 PM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field
• Tournament details: 2026 Emirates NBA Cup

NFL Week 9 promo

Make the most of Dimers' Buccaneers vs. Bears predictions by exploring the below DraftKings Sportsbook offer:

Conclusion

We predict the Bears, with a 72.7% win probability, will likely beat the Buccaneers in Week 9 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.