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Wizards vs. Pacers prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [12/14/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Sunday.
NBA action continues on Sunday at 3:00PM ET as the Washington Wizards square off with the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Pacers as the most likely winner of the Wizards vs. Pacers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature stars like Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard, while the Wizards will be led by CJ McCollum, Kyshawn George and Marvin Bagley.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wizards vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Wizards and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Pacers a 77% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Pacers winning 120-112.
According to our model, the Wizards (+9.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Wizards vs. Pacers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wizards | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-105) | -9.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +340 | -410 |
| Total | o234.5 (-106) | u234.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wizards vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wizards +9.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Wizards | +340 |
| Total | Under 234.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +9.5 at the spread.
Wizards vs. Pacers player props
Looking for Wizards vs. Pacers NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
CJ McCollum is expected to lead the Wizards with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Pascal Siakam is projected to have 25 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Wizards prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wizards are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 35 |
| Kyshawn George | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 34 |
| Marvin Bagley | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Bub Carrington | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 31 |
| T. Vukcevic | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 25 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 47 |
| B. Mathurin | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 38 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 35 |
| Jay Huff | 13 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 32 |
| T.J. McConnell | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 24 |
Wizards vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Pacers and Wizards at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 3:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Pacers, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Sunday, with Pascal Siakam projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wizards vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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