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Jazz vs. Pelicans prediction: New Orleans favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [4/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The New Orleans Pelicans and Utah Jazz will meet in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Pelicans as the most likely winner of the Jazz vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey and Jeremiah Fears, while the Jazz will rely on Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski and Ace Bailey.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Jazz vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Jazz and Pelicans, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Pelicans an 80% chance of defeating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Pelicans winning 125-115.
According to our model, the Jazz (+11.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 242 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Jazz vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jazz | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-110) | -11.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +450 | -550 |
| Total | o242 (-110) | u242 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jazz vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jazz +11.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Jazz | +450 |
| Total | Under 242 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +11.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Jazz vs. Pelicans player props
NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Jazz vs. Pelicans matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Brice Sensabaugh is expected to lead the Jazz with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Zion Williamson is projected to have 22 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Jazz prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Jazz are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sensabaugh | 24 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 41 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 43 |
| Ace Bailey | 18 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| Cody Williams | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 32 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 39 |
| Saddiq Bey | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 18 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 41 |
| Dejounte Murray | 17 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 40 |
| Derik Queen | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 32 |
Jazz vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Pelicans and Jazz at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah Jazz vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Pelicans, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Tuesday, with Kyle Filipowski projected for a game-high 43 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jazz vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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