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Raptors vs. Heat prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [12/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors will lock horns in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Tuesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Heat as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Heat game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature players like Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Jaime Jaquez, while the Raptors will rely on Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Raptors and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Heat a 66% chance of beating the Raptors. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 116-112.
According to our model, the Raptors (+5.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Raptors vs. Heat odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-110) | -5.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +180 | -205 |
| Total | o228.5 (-110) | u228.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Heat picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors +5.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Heat | -205 |
| Total | Over 228.5 | -110 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Raptors +5.5 at the spread.
Raptors vs. Heat player props
Looking for Toronto vs. Miami NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Norman Powell is projected to have 23 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists for the Heat.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 43 |
| Scottie Barnes | 20 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 46 |
| I. Quickley | 18 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 39 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Ochai Agbaji | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
Heat prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 23 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 37 |
| Bam Adebayo | 19 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 38 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Kel'el Ware | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 35 |
Raptors vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Heat and Raptors at Kaseya Center is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat
- Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Conclusion
We predict the Heat, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors on Tuesday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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