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Raptors vs. Heat prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat predictions for NBA Monday.
The Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Monday, with tipoff at 7:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Heat game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature stars like Tyler Herro, Norman Powell and Andrew Wiggins, while the Raptors will be led by Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA matchup between the Raptors and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Heat a 71% chance of defeating the Raptors. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 120-113.
According to our model, the Heat (-5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Raptors vs. Heat odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-102) | -5.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -225 |
| Total | o235.5 (-105) | u235.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Heat picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raptors +5.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Heat | -225 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -112 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Heat to win.
Raptors vs. Heat player props
NBA player props are a great way to wager on Monday's Toronto vs. Miami game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 24 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Tyler Herro is projected to have 22 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Heat.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 24 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 45 |
| Scottie Barnes | 23 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 51 |
| I. Quickley | 20 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 42 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
Heat prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 22 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 42 |
| Norman Powell | 21 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 38 |
| Bam Adebayo | 19 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 43 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 31 |
Raptors vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Heat and Raptors at Kaseya Center is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat
- Date: Monday, December 15, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Conclusion
We predict the Heat, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors on Monday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 51 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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