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Read Article Hawthorn Hawks vs. Richmond Tigers Prediction: Hawks Predicted to Win Sunday's AFL Round 8 Matchup [5/4/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers matchup.
The Hawthorn Hawks will square off with the Richmond Tigers in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 1:20AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Richmond-Hawthorn game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Hawks with a win probability of 94%, while the Tigers have 6%."
For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Tigers vs. Hawks predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20AFL Get Dimers Pro Hawks vs. Tigers Prediction: Who Will Win Round 8 Game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's AFL game between the Tigers and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Hawks a 94% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+46.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 179.5- over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:51AM, May 4
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
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Richmond vs. Hawthorn Odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +950 | -2500 |
| Line (Spread) | +46.5 (-115) | -46.5 (-115) |
| Total | o179.5 (-115) | u179.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Hawks vs. Tigers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's Australian rules football action between the Hawks and Tigers at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 1:20AM ET.
- Who: Richmond Tigers vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
- Time: 1:20AM ET/10:20PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Tigers vs. Hawks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Richmond vs. Hawthorn picks, be sure to check out the latest AFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 94% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tigers vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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