Suns vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Wednesday's NBA Cup matchup [12/10/2025]

The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Phoenix Suns in NBA Cup quarterfinals action at Paycom Center on Wednesday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Suns will look to Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen and Collin Gillespie.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Suns vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win NBA Cup quarterfinal?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA game between the Suns and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder an 87% chance of beating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 117-103.

According to our model, the Suns (+15.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 221.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Suns vs. Thunder odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Suns	Thunder
Spread	+15.5 (-108)	-15.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+870	-1100
Total	o221.5 (-108)	u221.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Suns vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Suns +15.5	-108
Moneyline	Suns	+870
Total	Over 221.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Suns +15.5 at the spread.

Suns vs. Thunder player props

Looking for Suns vs. Thunder NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Dillon Brooks is expected to lead the Suns with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 31 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Suns prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Dillon Brooks	19	4	2	3	32
Grayson Allen	16	4	4	3	32
C. Gillespie	14	5	5	3	33
Mark Williams	13	9	2	0	31
Royce O'Neale	10	6	3	3	27

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	5	6	2	52
Jalen Williams	21	5	5	2	40
Chet Holmgren	17	8	2	2	35
Ajay Mitchell	12	3	3	1	25
Aaron Wiggins	10	3	1	2	19

Suns vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Thunder and Suns at Paycom Center is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Wednesday, December 10, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center
• Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Wednesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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