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Suns vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Wednesday's NBA Cup matchup [12/10/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Phoenix Suns in NBA Cup quarterfinals action at Paycom Center on Wednesday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Thunder game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Suns will look to Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Grayson Allen.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Suns vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win NBA Cup quarterfinal?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Thunder an 86% chance of beating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 119-106.
According to our model, the Suns (+14.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 224.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Suns vs. Thunder odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-108) | -14.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +700 | -1000 |
| Total | o224.5 (-106) | u224.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Thunder picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns +14.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Suns | +700 |
| Total | Over 224.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Suns +14.5 at the spread.
Suns vs. Thunder player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Wednesday's Phoenix vs. Oklahoma City matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.
Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 23 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 31 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Thunder.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Suns prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 23 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 45 |
| Dillon Brooks | 17 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Grayson Allen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 28 |
| C. Gillespie | 13 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 30 |
| Mark Williams | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
Thunder prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 31 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 52 |
| Jalen Williams | 20 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 40 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
Suns vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Thunder and Suns at Paycom Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, December 10, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Paycom Center
- Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Wednesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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