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Suns vs. Pelicans prediction: Phoenix favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [12/27/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Saturday.
The New Orleans Pelicans will take on the Phoenix Suns in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Saturday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Trey Murphy, Zion Williamson and Jordan Poole, while the Suns will look to Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Collin Gillespie.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Suns vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Pelicans 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Suns a 63% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 121-117.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 241.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Suns vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-106) | +4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -178 | +155 |
| Total | o241.5 (-105) | u241.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +4.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Suns | -178 |
| Total | Under 241.5 | -112 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Under 241.5 total points.
Suns vs. Pelicans player props
Betting on Suns vs. Pelicans NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 27 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists, while Trey Murphy is projected to have 23 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Suns prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 27 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 49 |
| Dillon Brooks | 21 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 33 |
| C. Gillespie | 15 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 37 |
| Mark Williams | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Royce O'Neale | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 23 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 42 |
| Zion Williamson | 20 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 39 |
| Jordan Poole | 17 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 32 |
| Saddiq Bey | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Derik Queen | 14 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 35 |
Suns vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Pelicans and Suns at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Saturday, with Devin Booker projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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