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Flyers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs predictions for NHL Monday.
NHL action continues on Monday at 7:30 PM ET as the Philadelphia Flyers square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Maple Leafs game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL game between the Flyers and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 55% chance of defeating the Flyers.
According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flyers | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-225) | -1.5 (+190) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -128 |
| Total | o6 (-118) | u6 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Maple Leafs -1.5 | +190 |
| Moneyline | Maple Leafs | -128 |
| Total | Under 6 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs player props
Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 42.8% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is a 9.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Travis Konecny | 36.3% |
| Matvei Michkov | 29.2% |
| Owen Tippett | 27.0% |
| Trevor Zegras | 25.1% |
| Bobby Brink | 20.8% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 42.8% |
| William Nylander | 37.0% |
| John Tavares | 32.8% |
| Matthew Knies | 26.9% |
| Bobby McMann | 22.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Travis Konecny | 7.0% |
| Matvei Michkov | 5.3% |
| Owen Tippett | 5.0% |
| Trevor Zegras | 4.4% |
| Bobby Brink | 3.5% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 9.0% |
| William Nylander | 7.7% |
| John Tavares | 6.3% |
| Matthew Knies | 4.6% |
| Bobby McMann | 4.0% |
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Maple Leafs and Flyers at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flyers vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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