Flyers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/2/2026]

NHL action continues on Monday at 7:30 PM ET as the Philadelphia Flyers take on the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Maple Leafs game.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Flyers and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 55% chance of beating the Flyers.

According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Flyers	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	+1.5 (-218)	-1.5 (+180)
Moneyline	+114	-134
Total	o6 (-115)	u6 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Maple Leafs -1.5	+180
Moneyline	Maple Leafs	-134
Total	Under 6	-105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs player props

Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 43.9% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is a 9.2% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Travis Konecny	36.5%
Matvei Michkov	29.6%
Owen Tippett	28.4%
Trevor Zegras	26.2%
Bobby Brink	19.7%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	43.9%
William Nylander	37.1%
John Tavares	32.7%
Matthew Knies	26.9%
Bobby McMann	21.6%

First goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	First Goal Probability
Travis Konecny	7.3%
Matvei Michkov	5.6%
Owen Tippett	5.3%
Trevor Zegras	4.6%
Bobby Brink	3.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	9.2%
William Nylander	7.4%
John Tavares	6.5%
Matthew Knies	5.1%
Bobby McMann	4.1%

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Maple Leafs and Flyers at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flyers vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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