Flyers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flyers vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on March 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Flyers
3
2
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123OTT
Flyers
1 0 1 0 3
Maple Leafs
1 0 1 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flyers
    100%
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Flyers
1 0 1 0 3
Maple Leafs
1 0 1 0 2
OT1 04:27 Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Anthony Stolarz
OT1 04:18 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dan Vladar
OT1 02:36 Shot missed by William Nylander
OT1 00:37 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dan Vladar
P3 17:30 Power play - Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by John Tavares and Matthew Knies
P3 17:23 Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dan Vladar
P3 16:51 Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Dan Vladar
P3 15:47 Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Christian Dvorak
P3 14:41 Shot missed by Noah Cates
P3 14:35 Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 14:33 Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 13:46 Owen Tippett shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 12:43 Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P3 11:34 Philippe Myers shot blocked by Owen Tippett
P3 10:49 Nikita Grebenkin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 07:06 Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 07:00 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Dan Vladar
P3 05:58 Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 03:47 Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 02:39 Power play - Bobby McMann shot blocked by Garnet Hathaway
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout attempt by Max Domi saved by Dan Vladar
  3. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Matvei Michkov on Anthony Stolarz
  4. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Maple Leafs on Dan Vladar
  5. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  6. OT1 04:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  7. OT1 04:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Anthony Stolarz
  8. OT1 04:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dan Vladar
  9. OT1 02:56
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  10. OT1 02:56
    Stoppage - Home Timeout
  11. OT1 02:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Nylander
  12. OT1 02:14
    Matthew Knies credited with hit on Jamie Drysdale in offensive zone
  13. OT1 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dan Vladar
  14. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  15. P3 19:27
    Noah Cates won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  16. P3 19:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  17. P3 18:38
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  18. P3 17:30
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  19. P3 17:30
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by John Tavares and Matthew Knies
    2-2
  20. P3 17:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dan Vladar
  21. P3 16:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Dan Vladar
  22. P3 16:36
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  23. P3 15:57
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  24. P3 15:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  25. P3 15:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Christian Dvorak
  26. P3 15:37
    Penalty to Denver Barkey 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dakota Joshua)
  27. P3 15:37
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  28. P3 14:42
    John Tavares won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  29. P3 14:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Cates
  30. P3 14:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by Anthony Stolarz
  31. P3 14:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Anthony Stolarz
  32. P3 14:01
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  33. P3 13:48
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  34. P3 13:46
    SHOT
    Owen Tippett shot blocked by Philippe Myers
  35. P3 13:35
    Takeaway by Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
  36. P3 12:43
    SHOT
    Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  37. P3 11:47
    Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
  38. P3 11:34
    SHOT
    Philippe Myers shot blocked by Owen Tippett
  39. P3 10:52
    Takeaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
  40. P3 10:49
    SHOT
    Nikita Grebenkin shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  41. P3 08:09
    Giveaway by Owen Tippett in offensive zone
  42. P3 08:08
    Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
  43. P3 07:12
    Travis Sanheim credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
  44. P3 07:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  45. P3 07:02
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  46. P3 07:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  47. P3 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Dan Vladar
  48. P3 05:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Anthony Stolarz
  49. P3 04:48
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Carl Grundstrom in defensive zone
  50. P3 04:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  51. P3 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Anthony Stolarz
  52. P3 02:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Bobby McMann shot blocked by Garnet Hathaway
  53. P3 02:09
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Noah Cates
  54. P3 00:50
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  55. P3 00:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Dan Vladar
  56. P3 00:40
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  57. P3 00:00
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  58. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  59. P2 19:44
    Takeaway by Owen Tippett in offensive zone
  60. P2 18:47
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  61. P2 18:31
    SHOT
    Owen Tippett shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  62. P2 18:01
    John Tavares won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  63. P2 18:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  64. P2 15:32
    Auston Matthews credited with hit on Emil Andrae in neutral zone
  65. P2 14:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Dan Vladar
  66. P2 14:46
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
  67. P2 14:38
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
  68. P2 14:31
    SHOT
    Philippe Myers shot blocked by Noah Cates
  69. P2 12:46
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  70. P2 12:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Dan Vladar
  71. P2 11:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Grebenkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
  72. P2 11:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  73. P2 10:52
    SHOT
    Nick Seeler shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  74. P2 10:18
    SHOT
    Owen Tippett shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  75. P2 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dan Vladar
  76. P2 09:01
    Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
  77. P2 08:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  78. P2 08:26
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  79. P2 08:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  80. P2 07:18
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  81. P2 05:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carl Grundstrom saved by Anthony Stolarz
  82. P2 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
  83. P2 04:19
    Max Domi won faceoff against Carl Grundstrom in offensive zone
  84. P2 04:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  85. P2 03:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Anthony Stolarz
  86. P2 03:26
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
  87. P2 03:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  88. P2 02:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  89. P2 02:08
    Giveaway by Jamie Drysdale in defensive zone
  90. P2 02:03
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  91. P2 01:51
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  92. P2 01:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  93. P2 01:43
    Giveaway by Cam York in defensive zone
  94. P2 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake McCabe
  95. P2 00:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Dan Vladar
  96. P2 00:33
    John Tavares won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  97. P2 00:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  98. P2 00:00
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  99. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  100. P1 18:38
    John Tavares won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
  101. P1 18:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Cates shot blocked by teammate
  102. P1 17:23
    Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
  103. P1 17:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
  104. P1 16:47
    Power play - Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  105. P1 16:06
    SHOT
    Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  106. P1 15:35
    Easton Cowan credited with hit on Jamie Drysdale in offensive zone
  107. P1 15:22
    Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  108. P1 15:07
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  109. P1 15:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  110. P1 15:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Dan Vladar
  111. P1 13:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
  112. P1 13:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Laughton
  113. P1 13:00
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
  114. P1 12:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Anthony Stolarz
  115. P1 12:01
    Penalty to Nicolas Roy 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Bobby Brink)
  116. P1 11:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Seeler saved by Anthony Stolarz
  117. P1 10:38
    SHOT
    Cam York shot blocked by teammate
  118. P1 09:10
    Nicolas Deslauriers credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
  119. P1 08:54
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  120. P1 08:22
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Noah Cates
  121. P1 08:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
  122. P1 07:29
    Noah Cates won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  123. P1 07:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  124. P1 07:16
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
  125. P1 07:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  126. P1 07:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Benoit
  127. P1 06:49
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
  128. P1 06:42
    SHOT
    Rasmus Ristolainen shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  129. P1 06:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Sanheim
  130. P1 06:19
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  131. P1 06:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  132. P1 06:10
    Flyers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  133. P1 06:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  134. P1 05:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Anthony Stolarz
  135. P1 04:47
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
  136. P1 04:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Denver Barkey saved by Anthony Stolarz
  137. P1 04:14
    Shorthanded - Auston Matthews credited with hit on Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  138. P1 03:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
  139. P1 03:36
    Power play - Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  140. P1 03:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  141. P1 03:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Anthony Stolarz
  142. P1 02:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Anthony Stolarz
  143. P1 02:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cam York
  144. P1 02:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  145. P1 02:13
    Nicolas Deslauriers credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
  146. P1 01:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  147. P1 01:44
    SHOT
    Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Denver Barkey
  148. P1 01:26
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  149. P1 01:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  150. P1 00:00
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  151. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Flyers
STATS
Maple Leafs
25Shots on Goal31
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
19Hits26
14 Shots Blocked 16
17Giveaways13
FlyersPHI
Maple LeafsTOR
25Shots on Goal31
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
19Hits26
14 Shots Blocked 16
17Giveaways13

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flyers vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Monday, March 2, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Flyers +120, Maple Leafs -134

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flyers: 45%
  • Maple Leafs: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flyers a win probability of 45%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flyers vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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