Parlay these Giants vs. Patriots player props at +440 odds for 'Monday Night Football'

Thanksgiving Weekend in the NFL for Week 13 is almost over, but not before one last parlay as we turn our attention to the New York Giants vs. New England Patriots game on Monday, December 1.

This is our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.

To finish off Week 13, we're using our model's Monday Night Football predictions to build a +440 SGP over on DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can claim a $200 bonus when they sign up.

+440 Giants vs. Patriots NFL Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Giants vs. Patriots on Monday Night Football, December 30.

MORE: Giants vs. Patriots MNF Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Jaxson Dart 200+ Passing Yards

Jaxson Dart steps back under center for the first time in two weeks after clearing concussion protocol. This will be Dart's first game New York’s since parting ways with Brian Daboll, and a coaching shake-up often brings a more aggressive game plan — especially for an offense that’s been stuck in neutral.

With the Giants entering as 7.5-point underdogs, the script strongly suggests they’ll be forced into a pass-heavy approach as the game progresses. Dart should have the volume needed to get home, and while New England’s pass defense is solid, ranking 15th in passing yards allowed, it’s far from a shutdown unit.

Dimers’ predictive model has Dart projected for 210 yards, giving us a comfortable margin on this alternate line. This is a bet on volume, game environment, and a QB with something to prove in his return.

Leg 2: TreVeyon Henderson 60+ Rushing Yards

TreyVon Henderson looks every bit like the Patriots’ new RB1, and last week’s usage confirmed it. Even with Rhamondre Stevenson returning from injury, Henderson dominated the carries and operated clearly as the lead back.

The rookie has been electric with the ball in his hands, clearing 60 rushing yards in four of his last five and producing chunk plays at a rate that New England simply can’t ignore. Against a struggling Giants defense, this profiles as another spot where the Pats will want to continue feeding their emerging playmaker.

Dimers projects Henderson for 66 yards, lining up nicely with both the matchup and the recent usage spike. Ride the hot hand.

MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast latest episodes

Leg 3: DeMario Douglas 15+ Receiving Yards

DeMario Douglas doesn’t need volume to cash this leg — just one clean look. Douglas has become Drake Maye’s designated big-play receiver, routinely producing big gains despite getting only 2–3 targets per game.

He’s hit this number in five straight games, with each of those outings featuring a longest reception of at least 26+ yards. If he continues his role as New England’s field stretcher, it only takes a single connection to get us home.

Dimers projects Douglas for 22 yards, making this a low-number leg with very high reliability given his usage profile.

Dimers Pro Black Friday Sale: Three Months for the Price of One

Every bet and insight featured in our weekly primetime NFL parlays is sourced directly from our Dimers Pro data, our all-encompassing subscription service.

Available for less than $1/day, Dimers Pro features the best NFL bets, NFL player props, our brand-new NFL Player Projections, Super Bowl LX predictions, parlay picks and NFL betting trends analyzed by our in-house cutting-edge predictive model.

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Simply use code PROMONDAY at checkout for your discount to be applied, and you'll get access to all of our football tools, plus full access to all of the same data-driven weapons for NBA and College Basketball, Golf, Tennis and more!

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2025-26 Season

• NFL Week 13 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 13 matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• NFL Projections: BRAND NEW Player Projections Hub
• The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast: Watch the latest episode
• Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
• Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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