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Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 6 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Game 6 matchup.
The Denver Nuggets will square off with the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 6of their 2025 NBA Playoffs series at Ball Arena on Thursday, commencing at 8:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 6.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Oklahoma City-Denver game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Thunder with a win probability of 66% and the Nuggets with 34%."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Thunder will rely on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction: Who Will Win Game 6?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Thunder and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 66% chance of beating the Nuggets in Game 6 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 111-106.
According to our model, the Nuggets (+5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 218.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 6 Odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5 (-114) | +5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | -205 | +176 |
| Total | o218.5 (-108) | u218.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Picks and Best Bets for Game 6
Our model's strongest edge in today's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 6 Player Props
Betting on Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder in scoring, while Nikola Jokic is projected to be the top scorer for the Nuggets.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game Get Dimers Pro Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 6 Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's Game 6 between the Nuggets and Thunder in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
- NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Thunder and Nuggets, made the 2025 NBA Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Oklahoma City vs. Denver picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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