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Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA game on May 15, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
107
119
May 16, 12:30AM Ball Arena
Nuggets
May 16, 12:30AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Thunder
28 33 21 25 107
Nuggets
31 27 32 29 119
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
ThunderOKC
Win %
<1%
>99%
NuggetsDEN
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityThunderNuggets1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityThunder -5Nuggets +51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 218.5Under 218.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234T
Thunder
28 33 21 25 107
Nuggets
31 27 32 29 119
Q4 00:32 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:47 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:13 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:09
Nuggets turnover
Q4 00:29
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q4 00:32
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:34
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:40
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q4 00:40
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:40
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-118
Q4 00:40
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Ousmane Dieng, Ajay Mitchell, Dillon Jones, Cason Wallace)
Q4 00:40
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-119
Q4 00:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:53
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-116
Q4 00:53
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 00:53
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q4 00:53
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-117
Q4 00:55
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
107-115
Q4 00:55
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 00:55
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q4 00:55
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)
Q4 1:10
Thunder personal foul
Q4 1:10
Thunder personal foul
Q4 1:10
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 1:10
Instant replay
Q4 1:10
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-114
Q4 1:10
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 1:10
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-115
Q4 1:15
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
104-113
Q4 1:22
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
102-113
Q4 1:29
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 1:35
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:45
Nuggets turnover
Q4 1:45
Nuggets violation
Q4 1:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
101-111
Q4 1:53
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 1:53
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
102-111
Q4 2:00
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:00
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-110
Q4 2:00
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-111
Q4 2:00
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)
Q4 2:20
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-109
Q4 2:24
Nuggets turnover
Q4 2:47
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-109
Q4 2:50
Nuggets turnover
Q4 3:11
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 3:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-109
Q4 3:19
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 3:21
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:44
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q4 3:46
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:48
Instant replay
Q4 3:54
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 3:56
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
93-109
Q4 4:22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
93-106
Q4 4:34
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
91-106
Q4 4:56
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
91-104
Q4 5:01
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 5:01
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:01
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-103
Q4 5:01
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-104
Q4 5:01
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
Q4 5:05
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:17
Nuggets turnover
Q4 5:17
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 5:17
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q4 5:29
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:33
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q4 5:34
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:39
Nuggets turnover
Q4 5:52
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q4 5:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:09
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-102
Q4 6:22
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 6:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:43
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
88-100
Q4 6:49
Thunder personal foul
Q4 6:49
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 6:49
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)
Q4 7:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-97
Q4 7:10
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 7:13
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:29
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q4 7:29
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:42
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 7:53
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:53
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-96
Q4 7:53
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 7:53
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 7:53
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-97
Q4 8:00
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Q4 8:03
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:18
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 8:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:34
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 8:40
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:40
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q4 8:47
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:48
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q4 8:49
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:00
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q4 9:00
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
86-95
Q4 9:03
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:08
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Q4 9:11
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:15
Nuggets turnover
Q4 9:37
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
86-93
Q4 9:41
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q4 9:41
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:41
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 9:44
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
84-93
Q4 10:19
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 10:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:20
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q4 10:30
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:30
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 10:30
Nuggets turnover
Q4 10:52
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q4 10:55
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:09
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
82-93
Q4 11:15
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Q4 11:15
Thunder personal foul
Q4 11:16
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:23
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q4 11:27
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:31
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 11:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:41
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 11:43
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
82-90
Q3 00:00
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 00:00
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-90
Q3 00:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q3 00:00
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-90
Q3 00:00
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)
Q3 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q3 00:05
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
80-90
Q3 00:26
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 00:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:36
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
80-88
Q3 00:36
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q3 00:53
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:53
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 1:04
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
80-85
Q3 1:09
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 1:12
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:13
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 1:14
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:28
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 1:28
Julian Strawther turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 1:37
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
80-83
Q3 1:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-80
Q3 2:04
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 2:08
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:17
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Q3 2:20
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 2:41
Thunder turnover
Q3 2:41
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 2:41
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q3 2:53
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 2:55
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:03
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:03
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic)
Q3 3:03
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
Q3 3:17
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 3:21
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:41
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
78-80
Q3 3:58
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 4:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:08
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q3 4:11
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:21
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q3 4:23
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:29
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 4:32
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:40
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 4:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:40
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 4:47
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:11
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:11
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q3 5:11
Thunder personal foul
Q3 5:11
Instant replay
Q3 5:11
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-77
Q3 5:11
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-78
Q3 5:33
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 5:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
78-76
Q3 5:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:57
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
76-76
Q3 5:57
Thunder personal foul
Q3 5:57
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-77
Q3 6:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
76-74
Q3 6:22
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
74-74
Q3 6:32
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-71
Q3 6:50
Nuggets turnover
Q3 6:59
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 7:03
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:06
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 7:06
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q3 7:15
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
72-71
Q3 7:17
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q3 7:20
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:37
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 7:41
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:41
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 7:47
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 7:52
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 7:55
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:12
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
72-69
Q3 8:28
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
69-69
Q3 8:30
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Q3 8:33
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:43
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 8:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:52
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 8:54
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:14
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
69-66
Q3 9:23
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
66-66
Q3 9:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
66-64
Q3 9:53
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 9:57
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:05
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 10:05
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-64
Q3 10:05
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
64-64
Q3 10:15
Thunder personal foul
Q3 10:15
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 10:15
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-63
Q3 10:15
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-64
Q3 10:20
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 10:24
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:36
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
61-62
Q3 10:44
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 10:46
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:04
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
61-60
Q3 11:14
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 11:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:27
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 11:29
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:38
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 11:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
61-58
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:00
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 00:19
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:19
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 00:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:19
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
58-58
Q2 00:19
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q2 00:32
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 00:35
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:45
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
58-55
Q2 00:45
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q2 00:55
Thunder personal foul
Q2 00:55
Jalen Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 00:55
Instant replay
Q2 1:09
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
58-53
Q2 1:15
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q2 1:16
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:29
Thunder turnover
Q2 1:29
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:29
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-50
Q2 1:29
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 1:29
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-51
Q2 1:43
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
58-49
Q2 2:05
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
58-46
Q2 2:15
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 2:19
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:26
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 2:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:37
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 2:39
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:39
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 2:39
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 2:39
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 2:56
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q2 2:58
Thunder turnover
Q2 2:58
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 2:58
Instant replay
Q2 2:58
Thunder challenge timeout
Q2 2:58
Christian Braun turnover
Q2 2:58
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 2:58
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 2:58
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)
Q2 2:58
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-46
Q2 2:58
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 3:04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 3:07
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:25
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
54-46
Q2 3:33
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 3:37
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:53
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 3:53
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-46
Q2 3:53
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-46
Q2 3:59
Thunder personal foul
Q2 3:59
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-45
Q2 3:59
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-46
Q2 4:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-44
Q2 4:31
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 4:34
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:34
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-44
Q2 4:34
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 4:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-43
Q2 5:02
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 5:02
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)
Q2 5:02
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 5:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
45-43
Q2 5:12
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 5:13
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:20
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 5:22
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-41
Q2 6:04
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
43-41
Q2 6:08
Thunder turnover
Q2 6:10
Nuggets turnover
Q2 6:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-39
Q2 6:32
Nuggets turnover
Q2 6:39
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
41-39
Q2 6:55
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Q2 6:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:58
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 6:58
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 6:58
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 6:58
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 6:58
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)
Q2 7:00
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 7:03
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:19
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 7:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:28
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 7:30
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-39
Q2 7:53
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Q2 8:06
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 8:09
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
37-39
Q2 8:10
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q2 8:11
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:34
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
37-37
Q2 8:44
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 8:47
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:02
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
34-37
Q2 9:02
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 9:02
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q2 9:02
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Q2 9:06
Nuggets turnover
Q2 9:09
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 9:10
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 9:10
Thunder personal foul
Q2 9:10
Stoppage (Other)
Q2 9:10
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q2 9:12
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:12
Aaron Gordon misses two point tip layup
Q2 9:12
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 9:20
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q2 9:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:34
Thunder personal foul
Q2 9:34
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-36
Q2 9:34
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-37
Q2 9:52
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q2 9:52
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 9:52
Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 9:52
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 9:52
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-35
Q2 9:52
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon)
Q2 9:53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:09
Nuggets turnover
Q2 10:22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
31-35
Q2 10:41
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q2 10:41
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
29-35
Q2 10:47
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:56
Thunder personal foul
Q2 11:01
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 11:01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 11:01
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 11:01
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-33
Q2 11:05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 11:09
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:18
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 11:19
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:32
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
28-33
Q2 11:39
Thunder turnover
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q1 00:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Q1 00:05
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 00:05
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon)
Q1 00:05
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q1 00:20
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 00:23
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-31
Q1 00:35
Nuggets turnover
Q1 00:51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-31
Q1 1:00
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 1:02
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:12
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 1:18
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 1:21
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:31
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 1:34
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:34
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-31
Q1 1:34
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 1:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
22-30
Q1 1:51
Nuggets turnover
Q1 2:00
Thunder turnover
Q1 2:13
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 2:13
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:13
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 2:19
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 2:22
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:32
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:32
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 2:32
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
Q1 2:32
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.)
Q1 2:39
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 2:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:59
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
20-30
Q1 3:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
20-27
Q1 3:17
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q1 3:20
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:35
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
18-27
Q1 3:47
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 3:49
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:03
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
18-25
Q1 4:28
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
18-23
Q1 4:33
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 4:36
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:50
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 4:50
Thunder personal foul
Q1 4:50
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
Q1 4:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:52
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 4:54
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:07
Thunder turnover
Q1 5:23
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
15-23
Q1 5:37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
15-20
Q1 5:54
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-20
Q1 6:13
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q1 6:16
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:16
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q1 6:32
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-18
Q1 6:32
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 6:35
Thunder turnover
Q1 6:57
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
12-16
Q1 7:06
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 7:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:11
Luguentz Dort turnover (bad pass)
Q1 7:18
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-13
Q1 7:36
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 7:36
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 7:36
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 7:36
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-11
Q1 7:44
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 7:47
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:51
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 7:55
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:06
Thunder personal foul
Q1 8:06
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 8:06
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 8:06
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-11
Q1 8:06
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Q1 8:09
Thunder turnover
Q1 8:16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 8:18
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:36
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 8:39
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:51
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
11-10
Q1 9:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-8
Q1 9:12
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q1 9:15
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:30
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
9-8
Q1 9:38
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
6-8
Q1 9:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-6
Q1 10:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
4-6
Q1 10:10
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 10:10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 10:13
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
4-4
Q1 10:41
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
2-3
Q1 10:41
Thunder personal foul
Q1 10:41
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
2-4
Q1 10:51
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 10:54
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:01
Nuggets turnover
Q1 11:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 11:40
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q1 11:42
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Q1 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)
Q1 12:00
(Aaron Gordon gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G25A. Mitchell000
G22C. Wallace1040
F3D. Jones000
G11I. Joe210
F13O. Dieng000
Nuggets
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G0C. Braun23115
G4R. Westbrook830
G27J. Murray2587
G8P. Watson430
C15N. Jokic29148

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Thunder vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Nuggets
  • Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -5
  • Total (Over/Under): 218
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -200, Nuggets +180

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 66%
  • Nuggets: 34%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 112-107 Nuggets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 66%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 34%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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