...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Nuggets vs. Warriors: Find the best NBA prop bet on Nikola Jokic with Dimers' Projections Hub
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
Using the Dimers' NBA Projections Hub, our model has identified a plus-money prop bet worth a look in Nuggets vs. Warriors on Thursday night.
Looking to bet on NBA player props tonight? The Nuggets vs. Warriors matchup on Thursday, October 23 offers a number of strong value spots on star players such as Nikola Jokic - especially when using insights from the Dimers NBA Player Projections hub.
This tool, exclusive to Dimers Pros, provides daily NBA player prop projections for every NBA player, including points, rebounds, assists, blocks, and steals, making it essential for bettors targeting NBA props and stat-based markets like double-doubles and triple-doubles.
After debuting last season, the NBA Player Prop Projections Hub quickly became one of the best ways to uncover hidden player prop value.
The expansive hub can identify players on the brink of significant statistical performances, identifying unique betting opportunities outside the usual Points, Rebounds and Assists prop markets.
By using these prop projections, we've uncovered a Nikola Jokic prop bet backed by the Dimers.com model and some strong historical performances:
Bet: Nikola Jokić to record a triple-double (+166 on DraftKings)
The Dimers NBA Player Projections Hub has Jokić pegged for 25.3 points, 12.0 rebounds, and 9.6 assists, putting him squarely in range for another triple-double night. That’s right in line with his production from last season, when he averaged 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 10.2 assists and recorded 34 triple-doubles in 70 games - the most in his career and one triple-double shy of a 50% hit rate.
Jokić’s consistency in stuffing the stat sheet is unmatched, and history suggests he’s likely to start the season strong. The two-time MVP has opened each of the last two seasons with a triple-double and shows no signs of slowing down in his career as Denver looks to set the tone early this season against a familiar opponent.
Nikola Jokic is our top overall projected performer in Nuggets-Warriors on Thursday.
Why the matchup matters
The Nuggets face the Golden State Warriors, a team Jokić has dominated statistically in recent years. Since 2022, he’s logged four triple-doubles in 11 games against Golden State, and in three others, he finished just one rebound or assist shy.
That’s especially notable given how Luka Dončić nearly triple-doubled the Warriors just two nights ago coming up just one assist short.
The matchup sets up perfectly for Jokić to exploit Golden State, control the glass, and dictate tempo as Denver’s offensive engine.
PREVIEW: Nuggets vs. Warriors on Thursday night
Betting edge: Dimers Pro Player Projections Hub
The Dimers model’s projections highlight why this bet carries value - Jokić’s assist line (9.6) sits just below the triple-double threshold, creating an opportunity for prop bettors to capitalize on plus-money odds. Historically, Jokić’s penchant for hitting a triple-double on any given night makes +166 a favorable number compared to his long-term performance.
By leveraging tools like the NBA Player Projections Hub, prop bettors can spot these statistical edges before the market catches up - whether that’s identifying nightly triple-double threats like Jokić or finding under-the-radar double-double candidates across the league.
NBA betting resources for the 2025-26 season
- NBA Game Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every NBA matchup, every day.
- NBA Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game.
- NBA Finals Odds: Who will win the championship?
- NBA Futures and Championship Bets: Take the early value!
- Best NBA Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
- NBA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league
Responsible gambling
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure