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Nuggets vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 25 points in Thursday's NBA game [10/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets will lock horns in NBA action at Chase Center on Thursday, starting at 10:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga, while the Nuggets will look to Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Nuggets and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 56% chance of defeating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 117-115.
According to our model, the Warriors (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Nuggets vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-110) | -1.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +100 | -116 |
| Total | o233.5 (-108) | u233.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors -1.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | -116 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -110 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Warriors moneyline.
Nuggets vs. Warriors player props
Betting on Denver vs. Golden State NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 25 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 25 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 25 | 12 | 10 | 2 |
| Jamal Murray | 20 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Cameron Johnson | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Aaron Gordon | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Christian Braun | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 25 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Jimmy Butler | 20 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Brandin Podziemski | 13 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Buddy Hield | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Nuggets vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Warriors and Nuggets at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nuggets vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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