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Newcastle vs. Leeds prediction, odds, Premier League picks [1/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Leeds predictions for Premier League Wednesday.
Newcastle will square off with Leeds in Premier League action on Wednesday, starting at 3:15 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. Leeds game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. Leeds prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Leeds 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 57.6% chance of Newcastle winning, a 19.9% chance for Leeds, and a 22.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Leeds odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Leeds | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -150 | +460 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -128 | +104 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Leeds picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leeds | +460 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -128 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Leeds to win.
Newcastle vs. Leeds: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 1-1 Leeds | 10.7% |
| NEW 1-0 Leeds | 10.7% |
| NEW 2-0 Leeds | 10% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 46.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Newcastle vs. Leeds game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's Premier League game between Newcastle and Leeds is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:15 PM ET.
World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)
Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is on the radar for USMNT supporters at the moment as anticipation ramps up ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event sparking interest in World Cup predictions and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and the UEFA Playoff C winner in Group D next year, Aaronson's Premier League form will be tracked closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 57.6% win probability on Wednesday, Leeds has a 19.9% win probability, and there is a 22.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Leeds insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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