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2026 FIFA World Cup: Complete Group Stage Preview & Polymarket Odds
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Newcastle vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Newcastle vs. Leeds in the World Cup on January 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
3
4
Jan 7, 8:15PM
Jan 7, 8:15PM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
H. Barnes (36')
Joelinton (54')
Bruno Guimaraes (pen.) (90')
H. Barnes (90')
B. Aaronson (32')
D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.) (45')
B. Aaronson (79')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes (pen.)
3-3
Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces I. Gruev
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces B. Aaronson
Substitution for Leeds: S. Bornauw replaces J. Rodon
E. Ampadu (Leeds) cautioned
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by S. Botman
3-4
Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Murphy replaces A. Gordon
Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces A. Stach
Goal scored for Leeds by B. Aaronson, assisted by I. Gruev
3-2
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces F. Schar
Substitution for Newcastle: Y. Wissa replaces N. Woltemade
Goal scored for Newcastle by Joelinton, assisted by Bruno Guimaraes
2-2
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Botman replaces M. Thiaw
Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces S. Tonali
A. Gordon (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.)
2-1
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by N. Woltemade
1-1
Goal scored for Leeds by B. Aaronson, assisted by D. Calvert-Lewin
1-0
D. Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) cautioned
M. Thiaw (Newcastle) cautioned
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Newcastle vs. Leeds: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Newcastle vs. Leeds prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Leeds
- Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
- Time: 3:15 PM ET
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Newcastle -150, Leeds +460, draw +300
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+104)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Newcastle: 57.6%
- Leeds: 19.9%
- Draw: 22.5%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Newcastle 1-0 Leeds.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.6%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Newcastle vs. Leeds prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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