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Newcastle vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Leeds Premier League match on January 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
3
4
Jan 7, 3:15 PM ET
Jan 7, 3:15 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
H. Barnes (36')
Joelinton (54')
Bruno Guimaraes (pen.) (90')
H. Barnes (90')
B. Aaronson (32')
D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.) (45')
B. Aaronson (79')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Newcastle
- Leeds
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes (pen.)
3-3
Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces I. Gruev
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces B. Aaronson
Substitution for Leeds: S. Bornauw replaces J. Rodon
E. Ampadu (Leeds) cautioned
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by S. Botman
3-4
Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Murphy replaces A. Gordon
Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces A. Stach
Goal scored for Leeds by B. Aaronson, assisted by I. Gruev
3-2
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces F. Schar
Substitution for Newcastle: Y. Wissa replaces N. Woltemade
Goal scored for Newcastle by Joelinton, assisted by Bruno Guimaraes
2-2
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Botman replaces M. Thiaw
Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces S. Tonali
A. Gordon (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.)
2-1
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by N. Woltemade
1-1
Goal scored for Leeds by B. Aaronson, assisted by D. Calvert-Lewin
1-0
D. Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) cautioned
M. Thiaw (Newcastle) cautioned
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Newcastle vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Leeds
- Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
- Time: 3:15 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Newcastle -150, Leeds +460, draw +300
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+104)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Newcastle: 57.6%
- Leeds: 19.9%
- Draw: 22.5%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-0 Leeds (10.7%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.
The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Newcastle vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score
Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.6%.
The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-0 Leeds.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Newcastle vs. Leeds, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
