Jun 6, 2026
Argentina vs. Algeria prediction revised after 2026 World Cup squads revealed
Read Article Iran vs. New Zealand prediction refreshed after 2026 World Cup squads revealed
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get updated predictions and squad insights for the upcoming New Zealand vs Iran FIFA World Cup game.
Following the official roster announcements for the World Cup, our experts have generated the updated win probabilities and best bets for the Group G matchup between New Zealand and Iran at SoFi Stadium on Monday, June 15.
Dimers Pro users have access to the latest expert analysis below, where we build on our early New Zealand-Iran predictions to detail the latest projections and betting picks, and have a complete look at the official rosters for both teams.
Official World Cup squads: Iran and New Zealand
Here are the confirmed rosters for both teams heading into the 2026 World Cup:
Iran
Goalkeepers: Alireza Beiranvand (Tractor), Hossein Hosseini (Sepahan), Payam Niazmand (Persepolis)
Defenders: Danial Eiri (Malavan), Ehsan Hajsafi (Sepahan), Saleh Hardani (Esteghlal), Hossein Kanaani (Persepolis), Shoka Khalilzadeh (Tractor), Milad Mohammadi (Persepolis), Ali Nemati Omid Noorafkan (Foolad), Ramin Rezaeian (Foolad)
Midfielders: Rouzbeh Cheshmi (Esteghlal), Saeid Ezatolahi (Shabab Al-Ahli), Mehdi Ghaedi (Al-Nasr), Saman Ghoddos (Kalba), Mohammad Ghorbani (Al-Wahda), Alireza Jahanbakhsh (Dender), Mohammad Mohebi (Rostovv), Amir Mohammad Razzaghinia (Esteghlal), Mehdi Torabi (Tractor), Aria Yousefi (Sepahan)
Forwards: Ali Alipour (Persepolis), Dennis Dargahi (Standard Liege), Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh (Tractor), Amirhossein Mahmoudi (Persepolis), Mehdi Taremi (Olympiacos)
Manager: Amir Ghalenoei
New Zealand
Goalkeepers: Max Crocombe (Millwall), Alex Paulsen (Lechia Gdańsk), Michael Woud (Auckland FC)
Defenders: Tim Payne (Wellington Phoenix), Francis De Vries (Auckland FC), Tyler Bindon (Nottingham Forest), Michael Boxall (Minnesota United), Liberato Cacace (Wrexham), Nando Pijnaker (Auckland FC), Finn Surman (Portland Timbers), Callan Elliot (Auckland FC), Tommy Smith (Braintree Town)
Midfielders: Joe Bell (Viking FK), Matt Garbett (Peterborough United), Marko Stamenic (Swansea City), Sarpreet Singh (Wellington Phoenix), Alex Rufer (Wellington Phoenix), Ryan Thomas (PEC Zwolle)
Forwards: Chris Wood (Nottingham Forest), Eli Just (Motherwell), Kosta Barbarouses (Western Sydney Wanderers), Ben Waine (Port Vale), Ben Old (Saint-Étienne), Callum McCowatt (Silkeborg IF), Jesse Randall (Auckland FC), Lachlan Bayliss (Newcastle Jets)
Manager: Darren Bazeley
Updated Iran vs. New Zealand predictions and picks including +480 play
Leveraging our updated data and the above roster updates, we have re-run the numbers on this fixture. Here are the new probabilities:
- Win probabilities: Iran 52.9%, New Zealand 21.2%, Draw 25.9%
- Both teams to score: Yes 45.0%, No 55.0%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 43.6%, Under 56.4%
- Win to nil: Iran 33.1%, New Zealand 12.6%
- Double chance (win or draw): Iran 78.8%, New Zealand 47.1%
- Most likely final score: 1-0 Iran win (14.1%)
These projections represent the highest probability outcomes based on the confirmed team sheets for Iran and New Zealand.
Iran vs. New Zealand picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Zealand | +480 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -140 |
We'll be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on New Zealand to win.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge on New Zealand's odds provides the best long-term value right now.
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New Zealand vs. Iran World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between Iran and New Zealand is scheduled for June 15, 2026, with the two teams kicking off their tournaments in what is going to be the largest World Cup in history.
- Teams: Iran vs. New Zealand
- Tournament stage: Group G
- Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
- Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?
Conclusion: Iran vs. New Zealand prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that ** to win** is the most likely outcome, followed by to win, with to win as the least likely result.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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