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New Zealand vs. Iran 2026 World Cup early prediction with win probabilities
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get early predictions for the upcoming New Zealand vs Iran FIFA World Cup game.
New Zealand and Iran will meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at SoFi Stadium on Monday, June 15.
Group G brings together New Zealand, returning to the World Cup for the first time since 2010, and Iran, making their seventh appearance and still chasing a first knockout-stage berth.
With 91 days until kickoff, Dimers’ trusted soccer model currently favors Iran to win.
For full coverage, see our interactive Iran vs. New Zealand page and World Cup predictions hub.
New Zealand vs. Iran early predictions
Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the New Zealand vs. Iran game as part of our World Cup predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:
- Win probabilities: New Zealand 19.1%, Draw 24.4%, Iran 56.5%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 49%, Under 51%
- Both teams to score: Yes 46%, No 54%
- Most likely final score: Iran 1-0 New Zealand (13.5%)
As of March 17, 2026, these Iran-New Zealand numbers and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.
New Zealand vs. Iran World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between Iran and New Zealand is scheduled for June 15, 2026, with the two teams kicking off their campaigns in what is looking to be the biggest ever World Cup.
- Teams: Iran vs. New Zealand
- Tournament stage: Group G
- Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
- Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?
New Zealand vs. Iran latest odds
We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Group G game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: New Zealand +380, Iran -155, Draw +260
- Total goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-130)
Odds subject to change as the game draws nearer.
Iran vs. New Zealand picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iran | -155 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -110 |
We will be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on Iran to win.
As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on Iran's odds also provide the best value for bettors.
Iran vs. New Zealand: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Iran win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iran 1-0 New Zealand | 13.5% |
| Iran 1-1 New Zealand | 11.5% |
| Iran 2-0 New Zealand | 11.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.3% chance of both Iran and New Zealand finding the net and a 53.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Conclusion: Iran vs. New Zealand prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that Iran to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with New Zealand to win as the least likely result..
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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