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New York City vs. Inter Miami prediction, odds, MLS picks [3/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New York City vs Inter Miami predictions for MLS Sunday.
MLS action continues on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET as Miami squares off with NY City at Yankee Stadium.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts NY City as the most likely winner of the NY City vs. Miami game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
New York City vs. Inter Miami prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLS matchup between NY City and Miami 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 47.5% chance of NY City winning, a 30.3% chance for Miami, and a 22.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 66% chance of going over, according to our model.
New York City vs. Inter Miami odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| NY City | Miami | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +120 | +215 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -138 | +112 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New York City vs. Inter Miami picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NY City | +120 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -138 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New York City vs. Inter Miami: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NYC 1-1 MIA | 9.5% |
| NYC 2-1 MIA | 9.1% |
| NYC 1-2 MIA | 7.1% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
New York City vs. Inter Miami game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between NY City and Miami in MLS at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York City vs. Inter Miami
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Matt Freese (USA)
NY City goalkeeper Matt Freese is firmly on the radar for USMNT supporters as interest grows ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and the UEFA Playoff C winner in Group D next year, Freese's form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, NY City has a 47.5% win probability on Sunday, Miami has a 30.3% win probability, and there is a 22.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate NY City vs. Miami insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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