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NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [12/16/2025]
Get the latest NBA title odds sourced and predictions from our experts.

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of December 16, 2025, which covers every team's up-to-date NBA title chances.
Thanks to our advanced predictive analytics model, this article will provide insights into the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.
According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the most favorable outlook of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets.
Current odds to win NBA championship [12/16/2025]
After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 42.0%.
The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Nuggets, Rockets, Lakers, and Knicks.
1. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Dimers Probability: 42.0%
- Championship Odds: -
The Thunder are currently projected to have a 42.0% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of - available at .
Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 49.3% chance of winning the Western Conference, and offers the best odds of - for this outcome.
2. Denver Nuggets
- Dimers Probability: 11.6%
- Championship Odds: -
The Nuggets have a 11.6% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of - can be found at .
Furthermore, Denver is rated with a 17.3% chance of winning the Western Conference, and offers the best odds of - for this scenario.
As well as presenting these odds and probabilities on the Nuggets to win the title, Dimers offers NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Nikola Jokic.
3. Houston Rockets
- Dimers Probability: 7.2%
- Championship Odds: -
The Rockets are projected to have a 7.2% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of - at .
Houston, lead by Jalen Green, is rated with a 10.1% chance of winning the Western Conference, and offers the best odds of - for this outcome.
Speaking of Jalen Green, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Rockets star are hitting their prop lines.
4. LA Lakers
- Dimers Probability: 5.8%
- Championship Odds: -
The Lakers are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of - can be found at .
Looking at the conference probabilities, Los Angeles is rated with a 8.3% chance of winning the Western Conference, and offers the best odds of - for this scenario.
Wondering how LeBron James and the Lakers will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.
5. New York Knicks
- Dimers Probability: 5.7%
- Championship Odds: -
The Knicks are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of - currently available at .
Additionally, New York is rated with a 21.6% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and offers the best odds of - for this outcome.
NBA title odds as of December 16, 2025
Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.
NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship
The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.
- Charlotte Hornets
- Utah Jazz
- Chicago Bulls
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Phoenix Suns
- Sacramento Kings
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Dallas Mavericks
- Indiana Pacers
Check out the most recent odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on any of the teams that are still in the running.
Make smarter NBA futures betting decisions today - 12/16/2025
At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.
While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.
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