NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Norman Powell [12/29/2025]

Norman Powell over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Nuggets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on Miami's Norman Powell over 1.5 steals. A probability of 47.3% gives this play an edge of 11.4% at +178 odds.

Darius Garland over 2.5 3-pointers made (+124)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Projection: 3.0
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Darius Garland’s 3-pointers made prop shows a 10.9% edge at +124 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 3.0 3-pointers made on the over 2.5 line.

Tyler Kolek over 3.5 assists (+110)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Projection: 4.9
• Game: Knicks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Tyler Kolek over 3.5 assists, with simulations showing a 57.8% probability and a 10.2% edge at +110.

Evan Mobley over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 47.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Evan Mobley to record 1.2 blocks today, creating an edge of 8.9% on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

Kel'el Ware over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 46.0%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Nuggets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Kel'el Ware over 1.5 blocks for Miami, showing an edge of 7.8% at +162 odds.

Davion Mitchell under 0.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 43.2%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Nuggets vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Davion Mitchell’s steals prop shows an edge of 7.3% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.0 today.

Matas Buzelis over 4.5 rebounds (+134)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 49.9%
• Projection: 4.5
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Matas Buzelis for 4.5 rebounds for Chicago, creating an edge of 7.2% on over 4.5 at +134 odds.

Myles Turner over 1.5 blocks (+138)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 48.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Bucks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Myles Turner for 1.3 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +138 odds and a 6.5% edge.

Devin Vassell over 4.5 rebounds (+134)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Projection: 4.3
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

A 6.2% edge on the over 1.5 rebounds line makes Devin Vassell a value play in Cavaliers vs. Spurs, with our model projecting him for 4.3 rebounds at +134 odds.

Donovan Mitchell over 5.5 assists (+128)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 50.0%
• Projection: 5.5
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project Donovan Mitchell for 5.5 assists here, creating a 6.1% edge on the over 5.5 line at +128 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, December 29, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 1:58AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Nuggets vs. Heat	Norman Powell over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	11.4%	47.3%
Cavaliers vs. Spurs	Darius Garland over 2.5 3-pointers made	+124 @ FanDuel	10.9%	55.6%
Knicks vs. Pelicans	Tyler Kolek over 3.5 assists	+110 @ FanDuel	8.9%	47.1%
Cavaliers vs. Spurs	Evan Mobley over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	8.9%	47.1%
Nuggets vs. Heat	Kel'el Ware over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	7.8%	46.0%
Nuggets vs. Heat	Davion Mitchell under 0.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	7.3%	43.2%
Timberwolves vs. Bulls	Matas Buzelis over 4.5 rebounds	+134 @ FanDuel	7.2%	49.9%
Bucks vs. Hornets	Myles Turner over 1.5 blocks	+138 @ FanDuel	6.5%	48.6%
Cavaliers vs. Spurs	Devin Vassell over 1.5 rebounds	+134 @ FanDuel	6.2%	48.9%
Cavaliers vs. Spurs	Donovan Mitchell over 5.5 assists	+128 @ FanDuel	6.1%	50.0%

Conclusion

For December 29, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Norman Powell, Darius Garland and Tyler Kolek. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.