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NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Alperen Sengun [1/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NBA player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for January 26, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Alperen Sengun, Aaron Nesmith and Reed Sheppard.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Pacers vs. Hawks and Lakers vs. Bulls, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop bets for Monday, 1/26
Below are the top 6 NBA player props for January 26, ranked by edge.
Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks (+182)
- Edge: 10.5%
- Probability: 46.0%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Houston's Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 46.0% gives this play an edge of 10.5% at +182 odds.
Aaron Nesmith over 2.5 3-pointers made (+123)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 54.1%
- Projection: 2.8
- Game: Pacers vs. Hawks (1:30PM ET)
Aaron Nesmith’s 3-pointers made prop shows a 9.3% edge at +123 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.8 3-pointers made on the over 2.5 line.
Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 47.3%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 47.3% probability and a 9.1% edge at +162.
Kevin Durant over 5.5 rebounds (+118)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 52.4%
- Projection: 5.9
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Kevin Durant to put up 5.9 rebounds today, creating an edge of 6.5% on the over 5.5 line at +118 odds.
Josh Giddey over 6.5 rebounds (+108)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 54.4%
- Projection: 7.3
- Game: Lakers vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Josh Giddey over 6.5 rebounds for Chicago, showing an edge of 6.3% at +108 odds.
Amen Thompson over 7.5 rebounds (+104)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 54.4%
- Projection: 8.3
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET)
Amen Thompson’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 5.4% at +104 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 8.3 today.
NBA player prop summary: Monday, January 26, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:04AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks | +182 @ FanDuel | 10.5% | 46.0% |
| Pacers vs. Hawks | Aaron Nesmith over 2.5 3-pointers made | +123 @ DraftKings | 9.3% | 54.1% |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 6.5% | 52.4% |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Kevin Durant over 5.5 rebounds | +118 @ FanDuel | 6.5% | 52.4% |
| Lakers vs. Bulls | Josh Giddey over 6.5 rebounds | +108 @ FanDuel | 6.3% | 54.4% |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Amen Thompson over 7.5 rebounds | +104 @ FanDuel | 5.4% | 54.4% |
Conclusion
For January 26, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Alperen Sengun, Aaron Nesmith and Reed Sheppard. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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