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NBA First Basket Predictions for Tuesday Include Giannis Antetokounmpo, Franz Wagner [3/4/2025]
Our expert analysis on Tuesday's NBA first basket market.

This Tuesday, March 4th, another big day of NBA basketball is on the menu, headlined by the Rockets' matchup against the Pacers at 7:00PM ET.
After examining Tuesday's NBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Tuesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Tuesday's NBA slate is expected to feature star players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Franz Wagner and LeBron James, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for March 4, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) | 17.8% |
Franz Wagner (Magic) | 16.9% |
LeBron James (Lakers) | 16.7% |
Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 16.3% |
Zion Williamson (Pelicans) | 16.3% |
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) | 15.9% |
Paolo Banchero (Magic) | 14.9% |
Jalen Brunson (Knicks) | 14.3% |
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) | 14.3% |
Cam Thomas (Nets) | 13.8% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 17.8%.
Following Antetokounmpo closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Franz Wagner at 16.9% and LeBron James at 16.7%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Tuesday, 3/4/2025]
After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Tuesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Stephen Curry To Score First Basket
- Odds: +700
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 16.3%
- Game: Warriors vs. Knicks (7:30PM EST)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Warriors and Knicks. The bet is on Stephen Curry (GSW) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.8% according to our analysis.
Not only does Curry present an edge according to our model, but he is also among our top five most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [3/4/2025]
- Rockets vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Raptors vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Warriors vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
- Bucks vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
- 76ers vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Clippers vs. Suns (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
For more betting guides, check out Tuesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.
Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: March 4, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 4, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, March 4, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More on NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.