NBA picks today: Easter Sunday best bets include Jazz vs. Thunder play [4/5/2026]

Jazz +23.5 (-110)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 61.8%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Thunder (7:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Jazz +23.5 at -110 odds. A 61.8% probability produces an edge of 9.4%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Pacers +15.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 58.3%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

Pacers +15.5 carries a 7.1% edge and a probability of 58.3% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Bulls +9.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Bulls (3:30PM ET, Sunday)

Bulls +9.5 vs. Suns at -102 odds shows a 5.5% edge, supported by a 55.9% probability in simulations.

Kings +12.5 (-106)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 4.5% edge and 56% probability make Kings +12.5 vs. Clippers at a value play in the Clippers vs. Kings matchup, per our model.

Hornets ML (-125)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 59.3%
• Matchup: Hornets vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET, Sunday)

Hornets ML at -125 odds presents a 3.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59.3%.

Pacers ML (+1000)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on Pacers to win at +1000 odds, supported by an edge of 3.5%.

Kings ML (+575)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 17.8%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on Kings ML at +575 odds. A 17.8% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Pacers vs. Cavaliers under 238.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 2.5% edge on a 53.7% probability makes under 238.5 points at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Pacers vs. Cavaliers matchup.

Lakers ML (-122)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Mavericks (7:30PM ET, Sunday)

Our model projects value on Lakers to win at -122 odds. A 57.4% probability produces a 2.5% edge, making Lakers the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Bulls ML (+375)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 23.5%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Bulls (3:30PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Bulls to defeat Suns at +375 odds shows a 23.5% probability and a 2.4% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Sunday, 4/5/2026

As of 10:31AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Jazz vs. Thunder	Jazz +23.5	-110 @ BetMGM	9.4%	61.8%
Pacers vs. Cavaliers	Pacers +15.5	-105 @ BetMGM	7.1%	58.3%
Suns vs. Bulls	Bulls +9.5	-102 @ BetMGM	5.5%	55.9%
Clippers vs. Kings	Kings +12.5	-106 @ FanDuel	4.5%	56%
Hornets vs. Timberwolves	Hornets ML	-125 @ BetMGM	3.8%	59.3%
Pacers vs. Cavaliers	Pacers ML	+1000 @ DraftKings	3.5%	12.6%
Clippers vs. Kings	Kings ML	+575 @ BetMGM	3.0%	17.8%
Pacers vs. Cavaliers	Under 238.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	2.5%	53.7%
Lakers vs. Mavericks	Lakers ML	-122 @ DraftKings	2.5%	57.4%
Suns vs. Bulls	Bulls ML	+375 @ BetMGM	2.4%	23.5%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [4/5/2026]

• Raptors vs. Celtics (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Suns vs. Bulls (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Wizards vs. Nets (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Grizzlies vs. Bucks (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Pacers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Hornets vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Magic vs. Pelicans (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Jazz vs. Thunder (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Lakers vs. Mavericks (7:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Clippers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockets vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for April 5, 2026, featuring plays such as Jazz +23.5 and Pacers +15.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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