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Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Warriors NBA game on April 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
117
116
Apr 6, 2AM Chase Center
Apr 6, 2AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 26 | 29 | 37 | 25 | 117 |
Warriors | 31 | 22 | 29 | 34 | 116 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
80%
20%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 26 | 29 | 37 | 25 | 117 |
Warriors | 31 | 22 | 29 | 34 | 116 |
Q4 00:00 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Warriors makes two point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
Q4 1:38 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:55 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Instant replay
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
117-116
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
115-116
Rockets violation
Warriors 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
115-114
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
114-111
Warriors personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
115-111
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
112-111
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
112-109
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
112-107
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
109-107
Rockets turnover
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
109-104
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
109-101
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
108-99
Warriors personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
109-99
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Warriors personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
106-99
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
106-96
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-93
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-94
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
106-92
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)
104-92
Warriors violation
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
102-92
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
102-89
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
99-89
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Aaron Holiday offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-87
Warriors 60 second timeout
+1
Josh Okogie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-87
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Reed Sheppard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
97-87
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Seth Curry, Pat Spencer)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-87
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Charles Bassey, Pat Spencer)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-87
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
94-87
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
92-87
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
92-85
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-82
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-82
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
90-82
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
88-82
Warriors personal foul
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
Rockets personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-81
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-82
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
86-80
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
84-80
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
84-77
Rockets personal foul
Stephen Curry misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis)
Rockets turnover
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets personal foul
+1
Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-74
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
+1
Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-75
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
84-73
Rockets turnover
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Seth Curry)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
84-71
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-69
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-69
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
82-69
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
82-67
Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
79-67
Rockets personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-66
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-67
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-65
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
76-64
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
74-64
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
74-62
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
71-62
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
71-60
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-60
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
68-60
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
65-60
Kristaps Porzingis personal foul
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
63-60
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
63-58
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
63-56
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
61-56
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
59-55
Rockets personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
59-56
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
58-53
Warriors personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
59-53
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
Rockets turnover
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
55-53
Rockets turnover
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
55-51
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-51
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
53-49
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
51-49
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
51-47
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
49-47
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
47-47
Warriors turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
45-47
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
42-47
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
42-45
Warriors personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-42
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-42
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Warriors turnover
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Warriors violation
Rockets violation
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Seth Curry)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
40-42
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
40-40
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Seth Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 3
40-36
+1
Seth Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 3
40-37
+1
Seth Curry makes regular free throw 3 of 3
40-38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Seth Curry, Pat Spencer)
Rockets personal foul
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie)
Warriors turnover
Rockets turnover
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-34
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-35
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
40-33
Rockets personal foul
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-32
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-33
+3
Aaron Holiday makes three point jump shot
37-31
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors violation
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry, Pat Spencer)
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
34-31
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
31-31
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
28-31
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Will Richard)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
26-31
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
24-31
Rockets personal foul
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
24-28
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Rockets turnover
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Charles Bassey offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
24-25
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
22-25
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
20-24
Rockets personal foul
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Kristaps Porzingis)
+1
Charles Bassey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
20-25
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Kristaps Porzingis)
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Tari Eason offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
20-22
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-22
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Aaron Holiday, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Clint Capela)
Warriors turnover
Charles Bassey defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
17-22
Warriors personal foul
Rockets violation
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Clint Capela)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Charles Bassey, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
17-20
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
15-20
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
15-18
Warriors personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
13-18
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
11-18
Rockets personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Seth Curry)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
11-16
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
9-16
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
9-13
Rockets 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
6-13
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
6-13
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
6-10
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
6-7
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
4-7
Warriors turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
2-7
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
0-7
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
0-4
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
0-2
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
(Draymond Green gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Rockets vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Warriors
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets -156, Warriors +160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 65%
- Warriors: 35%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 116-112 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 65%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 35%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
