NBA picks today: Sunday's best bets include Thunder vs. Nuggets play [2/1/2026]

Nuggets +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 59.4%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Nuggets +4.5 at -110 odds. A 59.4% probability produces an edge of 7.0%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Thunder ML (-185)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 69.1%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

Thunder ML carries a 4.2% edge and a probability of 69.1% at -185 odds, according to our model.

Thunder vs. Nuggets over 228.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

Thunder vs. Nuggets over 228.5 points at -110 odds shows a 4.1% edge, supported by a 56.5% probability in simulations.

Magic ML (+205)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 36.3%
• Matchup: Magic vs. Spurs (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 3.5% edge and 36.3% probability make Magic at the moneyline at a value play in the Magic vs. Spurs matchup, per our model.

Cavaliers ML (-118)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

Cavaliers ML at -118 odds presents a 3.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.6%.

Pacers +5.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Pacers +5.5 at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 3.3%.

Magic vs. Spurs under 225.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Magic vs. Spurs (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on Magic vs. Spurs under 225.5 points at -110 odds. A 55.6% probability produces a 3.2% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Spurs -6.5 (-110)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Magic vs. Spurs (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 2.0% edge on a 54.4% probability makes Spurs -6.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Magic vs. Spurs matchup.

NBA best bets summary: Sunday, 2/1/2026

As of 8:31PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Thunder vs. Nuggets	Nuggets +4.5	-110 @ DraftKings	7.0%	59.4%
Thunder vs. Nuggets	Thunder ML	-185 @ DraftKings	4.2%	69.1%
Thunder vs. Nuggets	Over 228.5 Points	-110 @ DraftKings	4.1%	56.5%
Magic vs. Spurs	Magic ML	+205 @ DraftKings	3.5%	36.3%
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers	Cavaliers ML	-118 @ DraftKings	3.5%	57.6%
Rockets vs. Pacers	Pacers +5.5	-105 @ FanDuel	3.3%	54.5%
Magic vs. Spurs	Under 225.5 Points	-110 @ DraftKings	3.2%	55.6%
Magic vs. Spurs	Spurs -6.5	-110 @ DraftKings	2.0%	54.4%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [2/1/2026]

• Magic vs. Spurs (9:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers (9:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Thunder vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Pelicans vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Rockets vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies (7:30PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for February 1, 2026, featuring plays such as Nuggets +4.5 and Thunder ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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