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Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA game on February 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Thunder
121
111
Feb 2, 2:30AM Ball Arena
Nuggets
Feb 2, 2:30AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Thunder
32 30 39 20 121
Nuggets
26 29 30 25 111
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
ThunderOKC
Win %
>99%
<1%
NuggetsDEN
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
32 30 39 20 121
Nuggets
26 29 30 25 111
Q4 00:22 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:18 DaRon Holmes II makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:46 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:11 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:23 Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:12
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:12
Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:12
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 00:12
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-111
Q4 00:18
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Q4 00:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:39
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-109
Q4 00:39
+1
Hunter Tyson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-110
Q4 00:55
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q4 00:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 00:56
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:10
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 1:12
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:27
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Q4 1:30
Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:45
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
121-108
Q4 1:57
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Q4 2:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:18
+2
DaRon Holmes II makes two point jump shot
121-105
Q4 2:31
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:31
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Ousmane Dieng)
Q4 2:33
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 2:33
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 2:33
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 2:33
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 2:33
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-103
Q4 2:46
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:46
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 2:47
Nuggets turnover
Q4 3:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
120-103
Q4 3:11
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 3:11
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 3:11
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Jalen Pickett, Hunter Tyson, DaRon Holmes II)
Q4 3:15
Nuggets turnover (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
Q4 3:20
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 3:23
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:40
Jump ball. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Q4 3:42
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 3:45
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:52
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 3:55
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:09
Nuggets turnover
Q4 4:21
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
118-103
Q4 4:40
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
116-103
Q4 4:51
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 4:51
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-100
Q4 4:51
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-100
Q4 4:54
Nuggets turnover
Q4 5:02
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 5:02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 5:02
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 5:02
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-100
Q4 5:02
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Q4 5:26
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
113-100
Q4 5:30
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 5:32
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:36
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 5:40
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:53
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 5:53
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 5:53
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 5:53
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 5:53
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther, Peyton Watson)
Q4 5:53
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 5:53
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-98
Q4 6:12
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
112-98
Q4 6:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
112-95
Q4 6:38
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 6:41
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:48
Thunder turnover
Q4 7:04
Nuggets turnover
Q4 7:11
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 7:14
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:20
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 7:24
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:35
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 7:37
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:54
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 7:54
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-95
Q4 7:54
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-95
Q4 8:01
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 8:01
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Q4 8:01
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 8:09
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
108-95
Q4 8:26
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 8:26
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-92
Q4 8:26
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-92
Q4 8:39
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
106-92
Q4 8:46
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:46
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Q4 9:12
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
106-89
Q4 9:36
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-89
Q4 9:50
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 9:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:11
Thunder personal foul
Q4 10:11
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-86
Q4 10:11
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-87
Q4 10:20
Thunder turnover
Q4 10:33
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 10:36
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:55
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 10:57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
103-85
Q4 10:57
Bruce Brown personal foul
Q4 10:57
Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q4 11:00
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 11:03
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:10
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q4 11:14
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:25
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 11:29
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:40
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Q4 11:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q3 00:01
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:03
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q3 00:07
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:27
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
101-85
Q3 00:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
101-83
Q3 00:54
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
99-83
Q3 1:08
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 1:08
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-81
Q3 1:08
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-81
Q3 1:08
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Q3 1:11
Nuggets turnover
Q3 1:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-81
Q3 1:32
Thunder personal foul
Q3 1:36
Nuggets turnover
Q3 1:45
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q3 1:50
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:05
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 2:05
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:05
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-80
Q3 2:05
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-81
Q3 2:05
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
Q3 2:22
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-79
Q3 2:42
Jonas Valanciunas turnover
Q3 2:52
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 2:52
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:06
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
92-79
Q3 3:22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-76
Q3 3:22
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 3:22
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 3:22
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Q3 3:22
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-76
Q3 3:29
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 3:31
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:38
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q3 3:42
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:55
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
89-76
Q3 4:05
+3
Aaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot
89-74
Q3 4:09
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q3 4:09
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:09
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q3 4:20
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:28
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 4:31
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:39
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:39
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
Q3 4:39
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
Q3 4:50
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
86-74
Q3 4:58
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 5:01
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:15
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 5:15
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
Q3 5:17
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-74
Q3 5:26
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 5:29
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:50
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
80-74
Q3 6:02
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
77-74
Q3 6:18
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
77-71
Q3 6:39
Thunder personal foul
Q3 6:39
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 6:39
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 6:39
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Q3 6:39
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-71
Q3 6:48
Thunder personal foul
Q3 6:48
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 6:58
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 6:59
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
74-70
Q3 7:03
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 7:05
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:16
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q3 7:16
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
74-67
Q3 7:22
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:37
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q3 7:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:59
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
74-65
Q3 8:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-63
Q3 8:33
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
72-63
Q3 8:50
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
72-60
Q3 9:02
Thunder personal foul
Q3 9:02
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 9:02
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 9:02
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-60
Q3 9:07
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Q3 9:10
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:20
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-59
Q3 9:35
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
67-60
Q3 9:51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-57
Q3 10:03
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 10:03
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 10:04
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:24
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 10:24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 10:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:38
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 10:43
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:47
Nuggets turnover
Q3 11:01
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
65-57
Q3 11:05
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:21
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 11:23
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:28
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 11:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:48
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
62-57
Q2 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:00
Jamal Murray misses three point floating jump shot
Q3 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
Q2 00:04
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
62-55
Q2 00:21
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
59-55
Q2 00:31
Thunder personal foul
Q2 00:31
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 00:38
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 00:38
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 00:47
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 00:51
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:01
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 1:01
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:01
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-52
Q2 1:01
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-53
Q2 1:02
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q2 1:02
Thunder personal foul
Q2 1:02
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-51
Q2 1:02
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 1:02
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 1:04
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:18
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 1:20
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:33
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 1:36
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:44
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 1:48
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:58
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Q2 1:58
Julian Strawther personal foul (Loose ball)
Q2 1:58
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 1:58
Instant replay
Q2 1:58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:58
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Q2 1:58
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 1:58
Nuggets challenge timeout
Q2 2:02
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:13
Thunder turnover
Q2 2:24
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
59-50
Q2 2:31
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q2 2:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:51
Thunder defensive rebound
Q2 2:51
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:54
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:58
Thunder turnover
Q2 2:59
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q2 3:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:21
Thunder personal foul
Q2 3:21
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 3:21
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 3:21
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-48
Q2 3:23
Thunder turnover
Q2 3:37
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 3:37
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 3:41
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 3:47
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:03
Nuggets turnover
Q2 4:09
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
59-47
Q2 4:40
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:40
Thunder defensive rebound
Q2 4:40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:44
Thunder turnover
Q2 5:03
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 5:03
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 5:03
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Peyton Watson)
Q2 5:04
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
57-47
Q2 5:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-44
Q2 5:38
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
55-44
Q2 5:54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-41
Q2 6:01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 6:02
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:20
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
53-41
Q2 6:31
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
50-41
Q2 6:45
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
50-38
Q2 6:59
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
47-38
Q2 7:09
Thunder personal foul
Q2 7:09
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
Q2 7:16
Thunder turnover
Q2 7:16
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Q2 7:28
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
47-36
Q2 7:48
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 7:48
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-34
Q2 7:48
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-34
Q2 7:48
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Q2 7:54
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 7:57
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:10
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
45-34
Q2 8:21
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
42-34
Q2 8:25
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Q2 8:31
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:50
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
42-32
Q2 8:50
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 8:50
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 8:50
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown)
Q2 9:00
Jump ball. (Isaiah Joe gains possession)
Q2 9:00
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (lost ball)
Q2 9:14
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Q2 9:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:26
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 9:28
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-32
Q2 9:59
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
38-32
Q2 10:11
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 10:11
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 10:11
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 10:11
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-30
Q2 10:15
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 10:19
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:39
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
37-30
Q2 10:47
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 10:58
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
34-30
Q2 11:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
34-27
Q2 11:23
Nuggets turnover
Q2 11:27
Thunder turnover
Q2 11:41
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:41
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Q2 11:41
Thunder personal foul
Q2 11:41
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 11:41
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 11:41
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-27
Q1 00:00
Nuggets turnover
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown)
Q1 00:02
Thunder turnover
Q1 00:15
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 00:19
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:24
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:45
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 00:45
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:45
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-25
Q1 00:45
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-26
Q1 00:46
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:51
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:02
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
32-24
Q1 1:22
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
29-24
Q1 1:22
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Q1 1:26
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:41
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 1:41
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-22
Q1 1:41
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-22
Q1 1:47
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q1 1:51
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:59
Thunder turnover
Q1 2:00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q1 2:02
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:11
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 2:11
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 2:11
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Q1 2:11
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 2:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:19
Nuggets turnover
Q1 2:22
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q1 2:22
Aaron Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:22
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q1 2:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:30
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q1 2:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:37
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q1 2:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:05
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 3:07
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
27-22
Q1 3:21
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Q1 3:22
Nuggets turnover
Q1 3:22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-19
Q1 3:22
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 3:22
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
24-19
Q1 3:22
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson)
Q1 3:23
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q1 3:23
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:26
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:28
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q1 3:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:46
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
24-19
Q1 3:56
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 3:56
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-17
Q1 3:56
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
Q1 3:56
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 3:56
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-17
Q1 4:09
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
22-17
Q1 4:26
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
22-14
Q1 4:40
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 4:43
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:47
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q1 4:50
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:53
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q1 4:54
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:10
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
19-14
Q1 5:27
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 5:30
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:42
Nuggets violation
Q1 5:42
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 5:42
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson)
Q1 5:42
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 5:44
Nuggets turnover
Q1 5:53
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q1 5:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:03
Nuggets turnover
Q1 6:04
Jalen Pickett offensive rebound
Q1 6:08
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:18
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q1 6:21
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
19-12
Q1 7:08
Thunder personal foul
Q1 7:08
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 7:08
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 7:08
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-12
Q1 7:08
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren)
Q1 7:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-11
Q1 7:39
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
15-11
Q1 7:52
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 7:52
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-9
Q1 7:52
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-9
Q1 8:13
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 8:16
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
13-9
Q1 8:52
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
10-9
Q1 9:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
10-6
Q1 9:23
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
8-6
Q1 9:41
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
8-4
Q1 9:59
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
5-4
Q1 10:09
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 10:09
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-2
Q1 10:14
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:34
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 10:37
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:42
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Q1 10:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:01
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
3-2
Q1 11:22
+3
Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
3-0
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Thunder
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G23 B. Barnhizer 0 0 0
F6 J. Williams 8 5 4
G11 I. Joe 9 2 1
F13 O. Dieng 0 0 0
G-F34 K. Williams 5 2 2
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F5 H. Tyson 5 1 0
G24 J. Pickett 7 2 1
F14 D. Holmes II 2 0 0
G3 J. Strawther 9 4 3
F-C22 Z. Nnaji 0 1 0

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Thunder vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Nuggets
  • Date: Sunday, February 1, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -4.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -185, Nuggets +210

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 71%
  • Nuggets: 29%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 116-110 Nuggets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 71%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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