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Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +680 pick for Sunday [4/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, April 26, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for April 26, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +680.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 22.9% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 21.3% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 21.0% |
| Fernando Tatis (Padres) | 20.5% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 20.4% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 19.0% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 19.0% |
| Manny Machado (Padres) | 18.8% |
| Kerry Carpenter (Tigers) | 18.6% |
| Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 17.9% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.9% chance to go deep, followed by Cal Raleigh (21.3%) and Aaron Judge (21.0%).
Fernando Tatis and Nick Kurtz are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [4/26/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Kyle Manzardo (Guardians) to hit a home run
- Probability: 15%
- Odds: +680
- Edge: 2.2%
- Game: Guardians vs. Blue Jays (1:37 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Patrick Corbin
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Cleveland slugger Kyle Manzardo rates as a value play at +680 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.2% edge.
Set to face Patrick Corbin in tonight's Guardians-Blue Jays matchup, the data supports Manzardo as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For April 26, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh and Aaron Judge projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Manzardo who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.2% edge at +680 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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