May 24, 2026
Guardians vs. Phillies prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/24/2026]
Read Article Twins vs. Red Sox prediction: Boston favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Fenway Park on Sunday, starting at 1:35 PM ET.
The Red Sox will have Sonny Gray (5-1, 2.92 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Twins have opted for Bailey Ober (5-2, 3.63 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Red Sox as the most likely winner of the Twins vs. Red Sox game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Twins vs. Red Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Twins and Red Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Red Sox a 59% chance of beating the Twins.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 57% chance of going over.
Twins vs. Red Sox odds [5/24/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Twins | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-157) | -1.5 (+138) |
| Moneyline | +136 | -155 |
| Total | o7.5 (-108) | u7.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Twins vs. Red Sox picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Red Sox -1.5 | +138 |
| Moneyline | Twins | +136 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -108 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Twins vs. Red Sox game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Twins at Fenway Park is scheduled to start at 1:35 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
- Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
- Time: 1:35 PM ET/10:35AM PT
- Venue: Fenway Park
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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