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Grizzlies vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 27 points in Monday's NBA game [10/27/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Monday.

Memphis Grizzlies-Golden State Warriors Predictions and Game Preview.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors NBA prediction for Monday, October 27, 2025.

NBA action continues on Monday at 10:00PM ET as the Memphis Grizzlies face off with the favored Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Warriors game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga and Jimmy Butler, while the Grizzlies will rely on Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson and Cedric Coward.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 74% chance of defeating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 123-115.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 239.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

 

Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Grizzlies Warriors
Spread +8.5 (-112) -8.5 (-105)
Moneyline +275 -325
Total o239.5 (-115) u239.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Grizzlies +8.5 -112
Moneyline Grizzlies +275
Total Under 239.5 -105

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Under 239.5 total points.

 

Grizzlies vs. Warriors player props

NBA player props are a popular way to wager on Monday's Memphis vs. Golden State matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Ja Morant is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 27 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Warriors.

Stephen Curry 2025.
Stephen Curry is projected to score 27 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Grizzlies prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Ja Morant 23 4 6 2
Jaren Jackson 20 6 2 2
Cedric Coward 14 4 2 2
Santi Aldama 11 5 2 2
Jaylen Wells 11 4 2 2

Warriors prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Stephen Curry 27 4 6 5
Jonathan Kuminga 20 6 3 2
Jimmy Butler 20 6 6 1
Brandin Podziemski 11 5 3 2
Draymond Green 10 6 6 1

Grizzlies vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Warriors and Grizzlies at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Keep up with the latest NBA betting news and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the latest projections for the NBA title.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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