Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Warriors NBA game on October 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Grizzlies
118
131
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
37 66 15 0 118
Warriors
36 84 11 0 131
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Grizzlies
    <1%
  • Warriors
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
37 66 15 0 118
Warriors
36 84 11 0 131
Q4 00:02 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:21 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point floating jump shot
Q4 1:16 Moses Moody makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:28 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:02
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  3. Q4 00:02
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:17
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:21
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:27
    Warriors turnover
  7. Q4 00:29
    +2
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  8. Q4 00:32
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:36
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  10. Q4 00:49
    Gui Santos shooting foul (PJ Hall draws the foul)
  11. Q4 00:49
    +1
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-131
  12. Q4 00:49
    +1
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-131
  13. Q4 00:49
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  14. Q4 00:53
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 1:07
    Warriors personal foul
  16. Q4 1:07
    +2
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point floating jump shot
    114-131
  17. Q4 1:07
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  18. Q4 1:07
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, PJ Hall, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Cam Spencer, Javon Small)
  19. Q4 1:07
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Will Richard)
  20. Q4 1:16
    +2
    Moses Moody makes two point driving layup
    118-131
  21. Q4 1:25
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:28
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  23. Q4 1:37
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  24. Q4 1:48
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  25. Q4 1:52
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 2:11
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  27. Q4 2:19
    Grizzlies personal foul
  28. Q4 2:19
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-131
  29. Q4 2:19
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-131
  30. Q4 2:19
    Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
  31. Q4 2:23
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 2:26
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  33. Q4 2:30
    Quinten Post blocks Ja Morant's two point layup
  34. Q4 2:32
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  35. Q4 2:38
    Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 2:50
    Warriors personal foul
  37. Q4 2:50
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-131
  38. Q4 2:50
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  39. Q4 2:50
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-131
  40. Q4 2:50
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  41. Q4 2:50
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga)
  42. Q4 3:01
    +2
    Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  43. Q4 3:14
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  44. Q4 3:26
    +2
    Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot
    105-122
  45. Q4 3:30
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  46. Q4 3:31
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
  47. Q4 3:40
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
  48. Q4 3:40
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
  49. Q4 3:40
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  50. Q4 3:57
    +1
    Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-120
  51. Q4 3:57
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
  52. Q4 3:57
    +1
    Javon Small makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-120
  53. Q4 3:57
    Warriors personal foul
  54. Q4 3:59
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  55. Q4 4:06
    Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
  56. Q4 4:22
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  57. Q4 4:33
    Warriors personal foul
  58. Q4 4:46
    +2
    Will Richard makes two point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
    101-120
  59. Q4 4:59
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  60. Q4 5:06
    Will Richard personal foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
  61. Q4 5:06
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Javon Small)
  62. Q4 5:06
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  63. Q4 5:07
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  64. Q4 5:17
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  65. Q4 5:21
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  66. Q4 5:36
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    103-120
  67. Q4 6:00
    +2
    Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
    103-120
  68. Q4 6:11
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  69. Q4 6:15
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 6:25
    +2
    Will Richard makes two point layup (Quinten Post assists)
    103-120
  71. Q4 6:29
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  72. Q4 6:32
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  73. Q4 6:40
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  74. Q4 6:44
    Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
  75. Q4 6:55
    +2
    Jonathan Kuminga makes two point layup (Stephen Curry assists)
    118-131
  76. Q4 7:09
    +3
    Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot (Javon Small assists)
    103-120
  77. Q4 7:17
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
  78. Q4 7:17
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  79. Q4 7:17
    Cam Spencer shooting foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
  80. Q4 7:17
    +2
    Will Richard makes two point cutting layup
    118-131
  81. Q4 7:17
    Jonathan Kuminga turnover (offensive foul)
  82. Q4 7:17
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  83. Q4 7:17
    Warriors personal foul
  84. Q4 7:17
    Instant replay
  85. Q4 7:32
    Draymond Green personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
  86. Q4 7:32
    Instant replay
  87. Q4 7:32
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  88. Q4 7:32
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-131
  89. Q4 7:32
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
  90. Q4 7:32
    +1
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-131
  91. Q4 7:37
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  92. Q4 7:40
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  93. Q4 7:49
    Grizzlies turnover
  94. Q4 8:14
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  95. Q4 8:33
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  96. Q4 8:33
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
  97. Q4 8:33
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
  98. Q4 8:35
    +2
    Jaylen Wells makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)
    101-120
  99. Q4 8:59
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  100. Q4 9:11
    Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
  101. Q4 9:15
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 9:30
    Cam Spencer offensive rebound
  103. Q4 9:30
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  104. Q4 9:45
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  105. Q4 10:00
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
  106. Q4 10:00
    Grizzlies turnover
  107. Q4 10:05
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  108. Q4 10:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  109. Q4 10:07
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 10:21
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  111. Q4 10:36
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  112. Q4 10:36
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  113. Q4 10:40
    Ja Morant misses two point jump shot
  114. Q4 10:53
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  115. Q4 10:56
    Cam Spencer personal foul
  116. Q4 10:56
    Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  117. Q4 10:56
    Warriors offensive rebound
  118. Q4 10:56
    Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  119. Q4 11:17
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
  120. Q4 11:17
    Draymond Green shooting foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
  121. Q4 11:17
    Warriors personal foul
  122. Q4 11:17
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
  123. Q4 11:17
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-131
  124. Q4 11:17
    +1
    Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-131
  125. Q4 11:41
    Warriors personal foul
  126. Q4 11:41
    Moses Moody turnover (offensive foul)
  127. Q3 00:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  128. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  129. Q4 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant)
  130. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
  131. Q3 00:01
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  132. Q3 00:21
    Grizzlies turnover
  133. Q3 00:27
    Cedric Coward offensive rebound
  134. Q3 00:32
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  135. Q3 00:37
    Ja Morant defensive rebound
  136. Q3 00:39
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  137. Q3 00:58
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  138. Q3 1:00
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  139. Q3 1:07
    Warriors turnover
  140. Q3 1:19
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  141. Q3 1:23
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  142. Q3 1:29
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  143. Q3 1:32
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  144. Q3 1:43
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  145. Q3 1:49
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  146. Q3 1:49
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  147. Q3 2:13
    +2
    Santi Aldama makes two point turnaround jump shot (Cedric Coward assists)
    118-131
  148. Q3 2:27
    Grizzlies personal foul
  149. Q3 2:27
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-131
  150. Q3 2:27
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-131
  151. Q3 2:35
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  152. Q3 2:39
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  153. Q3 2:52
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  154. Q3 2:53
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
    73-80
  155. Q3 3:00
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  156. Q3 3:04
    Santi Aldama misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  157. Q3 3:16
    Draymond Green personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
  158. Q3 3:25
    Grizzlies personal foul
  159. Q3 3:25
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  160. Q3 3:25
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    118-131
  161. Q3 3:25
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    118-131
  162. Q3 3:25
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  163. Q3 3:25
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
  164. Q3 3:25
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    118-131
  165. Q3 3:29
    Santi Aldama turnover (lost ball) (Gary Payton II steals)
  166. Q3 3:32
    Santi Aldama turnover (lost ball)
  167. Q3 3:48
    Grizzlies personal foul
  168. Q3 3:48
    Warriors personal foul
  169. Q3 3:48
    Santi Aldama misses flagrant free throw 2 of 2
  170. Q3 3:48
    Warriors personal foul
  171. Q3 3:48
    Instant replay
  172. Q3 3:48
    Warriors personal foul
  173. Q3 3:48
    Santi Aldama misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
  174. Q3 3:48
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  175. Q3 3:48
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  176. Q3 3:48
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  177. Q3 3:48
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  178. Q3 3:48
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  179. Q3 3:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  180. Q3 3:49
    Warriors turnover
  181. Q3 3:51
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  182. Q3 3:54
    Moses Moody blocks Santi Aldama's two point driving layup
  183. Q3 4:09
    +3
    Stephen Curry makes three point stepback jump shot
    73-80
  184. Q3 4:24
    +3
    Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
    73-80
  185. Q3 4:29
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  186. Q3 4:33
    Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
  187. Q3 4:47
    Grizzlies turnover
  188. Q3 4:47
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
  189. Q3 4:47
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
  190. Q3 4:54
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot
    73-80
  191. Q3 5:09
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  192. Q3 5:12
    Javon Small offensive rebound
  193. Q3 5:17
    Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  194. Q3 5:38
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
    73-80
  195. Q3 5:51
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  196. Q3 5:53
    Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point bank jump shot
  197. Q3 6:10
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
    118-131
  198. Q3 6:14
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  199. Q3 6:18
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  200. Q3 6:18
    Instant replay
  201. Q3 6:18
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
  202. Q3 6:18
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, John Konchar, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
  203. Q3 6:18
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  204. Q3 6:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  205. Q3 6:18
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  206. Q3 6:18
    Grizzlies violation
  207. Q3 6:21
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  208. Q3 6:26
    John Konchar defensive rebound
  209. Q3 6:29
    Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
  210. Q3 6:44
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  211. Q3 6:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  212. Q3 7:13
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  213. Q3 7:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  214. Q3 7:37
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  215. Q3 7:38
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  216. Q3 7:50
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  217. Q3 7:52
    Cedric Coward misses three point running jump shot
  218. Q3 7:57
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  219. Q3 8:01
    Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
  220. Q3 8:09
    Grizzlies turnover
  221. Q3 8:31
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    68-75
  222. Q3 8:31
    Grizzlies personal foul
  223. Q3 8:31
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-131
  224. Q3 8:38
    Warriors defensive rebound
  225. Q3 8:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  226. Q3 8:39
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  227. Q3 8:47
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-131
  228. Q3 8:47
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
  229. Q3 8:47
    Jock Landale personal foul
  230. Q3 8:47
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-131
  231. Q3 8:47
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Jonathan Kuminga)
  232. Q3 9:05
    Warriors defensive rebound
  233. Q3 9:05
    Jock Landale personal foul
  234. Q3 9:08
    Ja Morant misses three point pullup jump shot
  235. Q3 9:15
    +2
    Jonathan Kuminga makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
    103-120
  236. Q3 9:32
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    103-120
  237. Q3 9:38
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  238. Q3 9:41
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point turnaround jump shot
  239. Q3 9:55
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  240. Q3 9:55
    Warriors personal foul
  241. Q3 9:55
    +1
    Jock Landale makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    118-131
  242. Q3 10:04
    Draymond Green turnover
  243. Q3 10:08
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  244. Q3 10:10
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  245. Q3 10:23
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
    118-131
  246. Q3 10:30
    Grizzlies personal foul
  247. Q3 10:33
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  248. Q3 10:37
    Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
  249. Q3 10:57
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  250. Q3 10:59
    Jonathan Kuminga misses two point jump shot
  251. Q3 11:01
    Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
  252. Q3 11:05
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  253. Q3 11:17
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    63-67
  254. Q3 11:31
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    63-67
  255. Q3 11:35
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  256. Q3 11:40
    Jonathan Kuminga blocks Jaylen Wells's two point driving layup
  257. Q3 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  258. Q2 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  259. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
  260. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  261. Q2 00:01
    Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
  262. Q2 00:10
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
  263. Q2 00:10
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-120
  264. Q2 00:10
    Ja Morant shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
  265. Q2 00:10
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-120
  266. Q2 00:21
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  267. Q2 00:26
    Ja Morant misses three point stepback jump shot
  268. Q2 00:46
    +3
    Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
    118-131
  269. Q2 1:06
    Warriors defensive rebound
  270. Q2 1:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  271. Q2 1:09
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  272. Q2 1:19
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  273. Q2 1:22
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  274. Q2 1:31
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  275. Q2 1:33
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  276. Q2 1:42
    Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  277. Q2 1:42
    +1
    Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-120
  278. Q2 1:42
    Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
  279. Q2 1:42
    Warriors offensive rebound
  280. Q2 1:54
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-59
  281. Q2 1:54
    Brandin Podziemski personal foul
  282. Q2 1:54
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-131
  283. Q2 1:55
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  284. Q2 1:57
    Draymond Green misses two point floating jump shot
  285. Q2 2:12
    Warriors defensive rebound
  286. Q2 2:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  287. Q2 2:14
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
  288. Q2 2:22
    Draymond Green turnover (Santi Aldama steals)
  289. Q2 2:37
    Warriors personal foul
  290. Q2 2:37
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-131
  291. Q2 2:37
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-131
  292. Q2 2:52
    Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  293. Q2 2:55
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  294. Q2 2:55
    Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  295. Q2 2:55
    Grizzlies personal foul
  296. Q2 2:55
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-131
  297. Q2 2:55
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
  298. Q2 3:05
    +3
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jock Landale assists)
    61-59
  299. Q2 3:07
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  300. Q2 3:11
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  301. Q2 3:33
    John Konchar personal foul
  302. Q2 3:33
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    118-131
  303. Q2 3:33
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Jonathan Kuminga)
  304. Q2 3:33
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-131
  305. Q2 3:38
    +2
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running layup (Ja Morant assists)
    116-131
  306. Q2 3:46
    John Konchar defensive rebound
  307. Q2 3:48
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  308. Q2 3:48
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  309. Q2 3:53
    Ja Morant turnover
  310. Q2 3:59
    John Konchar defensive rebound
  311. Q2 4:02
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  312. Q2 4:15
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    52-56
  313. Q2 4:15
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
  314. Q2 4:15
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    51-56
  315. Q2 4:15
    Warriors personal foul
  316. Q2 4:23
    Will Richard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  317. Q2 4:23
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Ja Morant)
  318. Q2 4:32
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover
  319. Q2 4:34
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
  320. Q2 4:37
    Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
  321. Q2 4:37
    Stephen Curry misses three point running jump shot
  322. Q2 4:41
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  323. Q2 4:43
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving finger roll layup
  324. Q2 4:58
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    63-67
  325. Q2 4:58
    John Konchar personal foul (Buddy Hield draws the foul)
  326. Q2 4:58
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    63-67
  327. Q2 5:08
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  328. Q2 5:11
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  329. Q2 5:33
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    52-56
  330. Q2 5:33
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-120
  331. Q2 5:33
    Grizzlies personal foul
  332. Q2 5:40
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  333. Q2 5:43
    Javon Small misses three point pullup jump shot
  334. Q2 5:52
    +3
    Gui Santos makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)
    118-131
  335. Q2 5:58
    Cedric Coward personal foul
  336. Q2 6:03
    Cedric Coward turnover
  337. Q2 6:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  338. Q2 6:08
    Warriors personal foul
  339. Q2 6:08
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Javon Small)
  340. Q2 6:08
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
  341. Q2 6:16
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    45-45
  342. Q2 6:24
    Grizzlies turnover
  343. Q2 6:30
    Santi Aldama defensive rebound
  344. Q2 6:35
    Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
  345. Q2 6:44
    Buddy Hield offensive rebound
  346. Q2 6:47
    Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
  347. Q2 6:59
    +2
    Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
    45-45
  348. Q2 6:59
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  349. Q2 6:59
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
  350. Q2 7:10
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  351. Q2 7:13
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  352. Q2 7:30
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    118-131
  353. Q2 7:35
    Warriors turnover
  354. Q2 7:50
    +3
    Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
    45-45
  355. Q2 7:52
    Santi Aldama offensive rebound
  356. Q2 7:57
    Cedric Coward misses three point jump shot
  357. Q2 8:11
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  358. Q2 8:34
    Cam Spencer personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
  359. Q2 8:34
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  360. Q2 8:34
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
  361. Q2 8:34
    Warriors defensive rebound
  362. Q2 8:36
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  363. Q2 8:47
    Warriors turnover
  364. Q2 9:05
    +3
    Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
    118-131
  365. Q2 9:17
    Warriors personal foul
  366. Q2 9:22
    Cam Spencer shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
  367. Q2 9:22
    Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  368. Q2 9:22
    +2
    Jimmy Butler III makes two point running layup
    39-41
  369. Q2 9:22
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
  370. Q2 9:22
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  371. Q2 9:22
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    118-131
  372. Q2 9:23
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  373. Q2 9:26
    Quinten Post blocks Ja Morant's two point layup
  374. Q2 9:53
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
    39-39
  375. Q2 10:02
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  376. Q2 10:05
    Ja Morant misses two point driving floating jump shot
  377. Q2 10:14
    Jimmy Butler III turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Wells steals)
  378. Q2 10:24
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  379. Q2 10:27
    John Konchar misses two point running layup
  380. Q2 10:32
    Ja Morant defensive rebound
  381. Q2 10:34
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point layup
  382. Q2 10:56
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  383. Q2 10:57
    Ja Morant misses two point pullup jump shot
  384. Q2 11:04
    Draymond Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Jock Landale draws the foul)
  385. Q2 11:04
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  386. Q2 11:07
    Ja Morant misses three point jump shot
  387. Q2 11:24
    Draymond Green offensive foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
  388. Q2 11:24
    Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
  389. Q2 11:42
    +2
    Jock Landale makes two point putback layup
    39-36
  390. Q2 11:42
    Jock Landale offensive rebound
  391. Q2 11:43
    John Konchar misses three point jump shot
  392. Q2 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant)
  393. Q1 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  394. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
  395. Q2 12:00
    Start of 2nd Quarter
  396. Q1 00:00
    Grizzlies miss heave shot
  397. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  398. Q1 00:01
    +2
    Brandin Podziemski makes two point driving layup (Stephen Curry assists)
    37-36
  399. Q1 00:06
    Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
  400. Q1 00:06
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Buddy Hield)
  401. Q1 00:06
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-34
  402. Q1 00:06
    +1
    Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-34
  403. Q1 00:06
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
  404. Q1 00:28
    Jock Landale shooting foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
  405. Q1 00:28
    +1
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    35-34
  406. Q1 00:28
    Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield)
  407. Q1 00:28
    +1
    Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-33
  408. Q1 00:52
    +2
    Jock Landale makes two point driving layup (Ja Morant assists)
    35-32
  409. Q1 00:58
    +2
    Buddy Hield makes two point running layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
    33-32
  410. Q1 1:05
    John Konchar turnover (bad pass) (Trayce Jackson-Davis steals)
  411. Q1 1:15
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
  412. Q1 1:15
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    33-30
  413. Q1 1:15
    +2
    Jimmy Butler III makes two point cutting layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
    33-29
  414. Q1 1:15
    Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
  415. Q1 1:28
    +2
    Santi Aldama makes two point running layup (Ja Morant assists)
    33-27
  416. Q1 1:33
    Ja Morant defensive rebound
  417. Q1 1:37
    Buddy Hield misses three point stepback jump shot
  418. Q1 1:53
    +2
    Jaylen Wells makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)
    31-27
  419. Q1 6:02
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, John Konchar, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
  420. Q1 6:02
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
  421. Q1 8:26
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts
Warriors
PosPlayerPts

Grizzlies vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Grizzlies vs. Warriors
  • Date: Monday, October 27, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -8
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +275, Warriors -325

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Grizzlies: 26%
  • Warriors: 74%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 116-123 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 26%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Chase Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Grizzlies vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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