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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Warriors NBA game on October 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
118
131
Oct 28, 2AM Chase Center
Oct 28, 2AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 37 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 118 |
Warriors | 36 | 84 | 11 | 0 | 131 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 37 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 118 |
Warriors | 36 | 84 | 11 | 0 | 131 |
Q4 00:02 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:21 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point floating jump shot
Q4 1:16 Moses Moody makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:28 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point jump shot
118-131
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos shooting foul (PJ Hall draws the foul)
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-131
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-131
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point floating jump shot
114-131
Warriors 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, PJ Hall, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Cam Spencer, Javon Small)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Will Richard)
+2
Moses Moody makes two point driving layup
118-131
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
118-131
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
118-131
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-131
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-131
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Quinten Post blocks Ja Morant's two point layup
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-131
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-131
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga)
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot
118-131
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-131
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot
105-122
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-120
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-120
Warriors personal foul
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-131
Warriors personal foul
+2
Will Richard makes two point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
101-120
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
118-131
Will Richard personal foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Javon Small)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Javon Small defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
103-120
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
103-120
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Will Richard makes two point layup (Quinten Post assists)
103-120
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point layup (Stephen Curry assists)
118-131
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot (Javon Small assists)
103-120
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Cam Spencer shooting foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
+2
Will Richard makes two point cutting layup
118-131
Jonathan Kuminga turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Warriors personal foul
Instant replay
Draymond Green personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Instant replay
Warriors 60 second timeout
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-131
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-131
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
118-131
Warriors 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
+2
Jaylen Wells makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)
101-120
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
118-131
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cam Spencer offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
118-131
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
118-131
Jock Landale offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-131
Ja Morant misses two point jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Cam Spencer personal foul
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
Draymond Green shooting foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-131
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-131
Warriors personal foul
Moses Moody turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
118-131
Grizzlies turnover
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
118-131
Warriors turnover
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-131
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
+2
Santi Aldama makes two point turnaround jump shot (Cedric Coward assists)
118-131
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-131
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-131
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
73-80
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Santi Aldama misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Draymond Green personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
Grizzlies personal foul
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 3
118-131
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 3
118-131
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 3 of 3
118-131
Santi Aldama turnover (lost ball) (Gary Payton II steals)
Santi Aldama turnover (lost ball)
Grizzlies personal foul
Warriors personal foul
Santi Aldama misses flagrant free throw 2 of 2
Warriors personal foul
Instant replay
Warriors personal foul
Santi Aldama misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors turnover
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Moses Moody blocks Santi Aldama's two point driving layup
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point stepback jump shot
73-80
+3
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
73-80
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot
73-80
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-131
Javon Small offensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
73-80
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point bank jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
118-131
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, John Konchar, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies violation
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
John Konchar defensive rebound
Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
118-131
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
118-131
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-131
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
118-131
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Cedric Coward misses three point running jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-75
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-131
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-131
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
Jock Landale personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-131
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Jonathan Kuminga)
Warriors defensive rebound
Jock Landale personal foul
Ja Morant misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
103-120
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
103-120
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-131
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jock Landale makes regular free throw 1 of 1
118-131
Draymond Green turnover
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
118-131
Grizzlies personal foul
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses two point jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
63-67
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
63-67
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga blocks Jaylen Wells's two point driving layup
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
End of 1st Half.
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-120
Ja Morant shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-120
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses three point stepback jump shot
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
118-131
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-120
Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-59
Brandin Podziemski personal foul
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-131
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses two point floating jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green turnover (Santi Aldama steals)
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-131
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-131
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-131
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jock Landale assists)
61-59
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
John Konchar personal foul
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-131
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Jonathan Kuminga)
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-131
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running layup (Ja Morant assists)
116-131
John Konchar defensive rebound
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
118-131
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Ja Morant turnover
John Konchar defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
52-56
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
51-56
Warriors personal foul
Will Richard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Ja Morant)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry misses three point running jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
63-67
John Konchar personal foul (Buddy Hield draws the foul)
+1
Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-67
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-56
+1
Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-120
Grizzlies personal foul
Will Richard defensive rebound
Javon Small misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Gui Santos makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)
118-131
Cedric Coward personal foul
Cedric Coward turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Javon Small)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Buddy Hield)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
45-45
Grizzlies turnover
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
Buddy Hield offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
+2
Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
45-45
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield)
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
118-131
Warriors turnover
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
45-45
Santi Aldama offensive rebound
Cedric Coward misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
118-131
Cam Spencer personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, Cam Spencer, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small)
Warriors defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
118-131
Warriors personal foul
Cam Spencer shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
+2
Jimmy Butler III makes two point running layup
39-41
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
118-131
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Quinten Post blocks Ja Morant's two point layup
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
39-39
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses two point driving floating jump shot
Jimmy Butler III turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Wells steals)
Quinten Post defensive rebound
John Konchar misses two point running layup
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses two point layup
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses two point pullup jump shot
Draymond Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Jock Landale draws the foul)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Ja Morant misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green offensive foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Jock Landale makes two point putback layup
39-36
Jock Landale offensive rebound
John Konchar misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
Start of 2nd Quarter
Grizzlies miss heave shot
End of 1st Quarter.
+2
Brandin Podziemski makes two point driving layup (Stephen Curry assists)
37-36
Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Buddy Hield)
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-34
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-34
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
Jock Landale shooting foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-34
Warriors lineup change (Jimmy Butler III, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield)
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-33
+2
Jock Landale makes two point driving layup (Ja Morant assists)
35-32
+2
Buddy Hield makes two point running layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
33-32
John Konchar turnover (bad pass) (Trayce Jackson-Davis steals)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
33-30
+2
Jimmy Butler III makes two point cutting layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
33-29
Grizzlies lineup change (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
+2
Santi Aldama makes two point running layup (Ja Morant assists)
33-27
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Buddy Hield misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Jaylen Wells makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)
31-27
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Santi Aldama, John Konchar, Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Gary Payton II, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 18 | O. Prosper | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 24 | C. Spencer | 11 | 2 | 3 |
| G | 10 | J. Small | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| C | 16 | P. Hall | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 23 | C. Coward | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 32 | T. Jackson-Davis | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 4 | M. Moody | 20 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 3 | W. Richard | 4 | 2 | 1 |
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Grizzlies vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Grizzlies vs. Warriors
- Date: Monday, October 27, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -8
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5
- Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +275, Warriors -325
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Grizzlies: 26%
- Warriors: 74%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 116-123 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 26%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Chase Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Grizzlies vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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