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Grizzlies vs. Pistons prediction: Detroit favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [3/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Memphis Grizzlies vs Detroit Pistons predictions for NBA Friday.
The Detroit Pistons will square off with the Memphis Grizzlies in NBA action at Little Caesars Arena on Friday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Pistons as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Pistons game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pistons lineup will feature players like Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren and Tobias Harris, while the Grizzlies will be led by Ty Jerome, Jaylen Wells and GG Jackson.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Grizzlies vs. Pistons prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Grizzlies and Pistons 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Pistons an 89% chance of defeating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Pistons winning 123-109.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+16.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Grizzlies vs. Pistons odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Grizzlies | Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +16.5 (-110) | -16.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +900 | -1500 |
| Total | o233.5 (-105) | u233.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Grizzlies vs. Pistons picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +16.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +900 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +16.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Grizzlies vs. Pistons player props
Looking for Grizzlies vs. Pistons NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Little Caesars Arena.
Ty Jerome is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Cade Cunningham is projected to have 25 points, 6 rebounds and 10 assists for the Pistons.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Grizzlies prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| Jaylen Wells | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
| GG Jackson | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Cedric Coward | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| O. Prosper | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
Pistons prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pistons:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 25 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 54 |
| Jalen Duren | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 39 |
| Tobias Harris | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| Duncan Robinson | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Ronald Holland | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
Grizzlies vs. Pistons game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Pistons and Grizzlies at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Detroit Pistons
- Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Pistons, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Friday, with Cade Cunningham projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Pistons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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