NBA picks today: Friday's best bets include Grizzlies vs. Pistons play [3/13/2026]

Grizzlies +15.5 (-102)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Pistons (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on Grizzlies +15.5 at -102 odds. A 57.9% probability produces an edge of 7.4%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Jazz +15.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Jazz +15.5 carries a 5.6% edge and a probability of 58% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Mavericks +13.5 (-108)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Mavericks (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Mavericks +13.5 vs. Cavaliers at -108 odds shows a 4.5% edge, supported by a 56.5% probability in simulations.

Pacers +13 (-106)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Pacers (7:30PM ET, Friday)

A 4.4% edge and 55.8% probability make Pacers +13 vs. Knicks at a value play in the Knicks vs. Pacers matchup, per our model.

Grizzlies ML (+900)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 13.2%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Pistons (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Grizzlies ML at +900 odds presents a 3.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 13.2%.

Cavaliers vs. Mavericks under 236.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Mavericks (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on under 236.5 points in Cavaliers vs. Mavericks at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 3.1%.

Bulls +13.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Bulls +13.5 at -110 odds. A 55.3% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Pelicans +6.5 (+100)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Matchup: Pelicans vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Friday)

A 2.9% edge on a 52.9% probability makes Pelicans +6.5 at +100 odds a solid value play in today's Pelicans vs. Rockets matchup.

Pacers ML (+650)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 15.7%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Pacers (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model projects value on Pacers to win at +650 odds. A 15.7% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making Pacers the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Jazz ML (+810)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 13.3%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Jazz to defeat Trail Blazers at +810 odds shows a 13.3% probability and a 2.3% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Friday, 3/13/2026

As of 3:13PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Grizzlies vs. Pistons	Grizzlies +15.5	-102 @ BetMGM	7.4%	57.9%
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers	Jazz +15.5	-110 @ BetMGM	5.6%	58%
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks +13.5	-108 @ DraftKings	4.5%	56.5%
Knicks vs. Pacers	Pacers +13	-106 @ FanDuel	4.4%	55.8%
Grizzlies vs. Pistons	Grizzlies ML	+900 @ DraftKings	3.2%	13.2%
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks	Under 236.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.1%	54.3%
Bulls vs. Clippers	Bulls +13.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.0%	55.3%
Pelicans vs. Rockets	Pelicans +6.5	+100 @ BetMGM	2.9%	52.9%
Knicks vs. Pacers	Pacers ML	+650 @ BetMGM	2.4%	15.7%
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers	Jazz ML	+810 @ FanDuel	2.3%	13.3%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [3/13/2026]

• Cavaliers vs. Mavericks (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Suns vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Knicks vs. Pacers (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Grizzlies vs. Pistons (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Pelicans vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Timberwolves vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Jazz vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Bulls vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Friday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for March 13, 2026, featuring plays such as Grizzlies +15.5 and Jazz +15.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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