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Mazatlan vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mazatlan vs Monterrey predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Liga MX action continues on Friday at 10:00 PM ET as Monterrey squares off with Mazatlan in the playoffs at .
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Mazatlan vs. Monterrey game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mazatlan vs. Monterrey prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Mazatlan and Monterrey 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 24.2% chance of Mazatlan winning, a 51.3% chance for Monterrey, and a 24.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Mazatlan vs. Monterrey odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Mazatlan | Monterrey | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +340 | -130 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -140 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mazatlan vs. Monterrey picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazatlan | +340 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Mazatlan vs. Monterrey: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MZA 1-1 MNT | 11.7% |
| MZA 0-1 MNT | 11.1% |
| MZA 1-2 MNT | 9.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.4% chance of the yes hitting, and a 47.6% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Mazatlan vs. Monterrey game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between Mazatlan and Monterrey is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Mazatlan vs. Monterrey
- Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Mazatlan has a 24.2% win probability on Friday, Monterrey has a 51.3% win probability, and there is a 24.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mazatlan vs. Monterrey insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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