Raiders vs. Patriots prediction: New England favored to win in NFL Week 1, 2025

The New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders will lock horns in Week 1 of the NFL season at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Patriots as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Raiders-Patriots game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Patriots with a win probability of 59%, while the Raiders have 41%."

This updated Raiders vs. Patriots betting preview builds on my Raiders vs. Patriots prediction that was posted earlier in the week.

For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Raiders vs. Patriots predictions page.

Raiders vs. Patriots Predictions

Since our Raiders-Patriots predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Raiders and Patriots 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Patriots a 59% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Patriots winning 23-20.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Raiders and Patriots each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.

Raiders vs. Patriots odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Raiders	Patriots
Spread	+2.5 (-105)	-2.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+125	-134
Total	o44.5 (-105)	u44.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Raiders vs. Patriots picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Raiders vs. Patriots matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season, with today's best NFL bets populating now.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Raiders vs. Patriots TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Raiders vs. Patriots?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 1, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score the first touchdown in Raiders vs. Patriots.

Our projections give Jeanty a 15.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Raiders running back is a 49.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	First TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	15.0%
Brock Bowers (TE)	8.0%
Jakobi Meyers (WR)	6.9%

New England Patriots

Player	First TD Probability
TreVeyon Henderson (RB)	11.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB)	8.0%
Stefon Diggs (WR)	6.9%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	49.5%
Brock Bowers (TE)	30.6%
Jakobi Meyers (WR)	27.1%

New England Patriots

Player	Anytime TD Probability
TreVeyon Henderson (RB)	40.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB)	30.8%
Stefon Diggs (WR)	27.2%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 1 touchdown scorer predictions

Raiders vs Patriots player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Patriots. For more, check out today's highest-probability NFL prop bets.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Raiders-Patriots page now to access every player prop projection.

Raiders vs. Patriots quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Geno Smith is projected to throw for more yards than the Patriots' Drake Maye.

Raiders rushing

Ashton Jeanty, Geno Smith and Zamir White are projected to be the leading rushers for the Raiders.

Player	Position
Ashton Jeanty	RB
Geno Smith	QB
Zamir White	RB

Patriots rushing

TreVeyon Henderson, Rhamondre Stevenson and Drake Maye are expected to lead the Patriots in rushing yards.

Player	Position
TreVeyon Henderson	RB
Rhamondre Stevenson	RB
Drake Maye	QB

Raiders receiving

Brock Bowers, Jakobi Meyers, Dont'e Thornton, Tre Tucker and Ashton Jeanty are projected to top the receiving yards for the Raiders.

Player	Position
Brock Bowers	TE
Jakobi Meyers	WR
Dont'e Thornton	WR
Tre Tucker	WR
Ashton Jeanty	RB

Patriots receiving

Stefon Diggs, DeMario Douglas, Hunter Henry, Kayshon Boutte and TreVeyon Henderson are projected to lead the Patriots in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Stefon Diggs	WR
DeMario Douglas	WR
Hunter Henry	TE
Kayshon Boutte	WR
TreVeyon Henderson	RB

Raiders vs. Patriots game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 1 matchup between the Patriots and Raiders at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Raiders vs. Patriots matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Raiders vs. Patriots picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Patriots, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 1 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raiders vs. Patriots insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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