Jaguars vs. Raiders Prediction: Las Vegas Predicted to Win in NFL Week 16 [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders matchup.

Jacksonville Jaguars-Las Vegas Raiders Predictions and Game Preview.
Allegiant Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Las Vegas Raiders this Sunday.

The Las Vegas Raiders will square off with the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 16 action at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:25PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Raiders as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Jacksonville-Las Vegas game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Raiders with a win probability of 59%, while the Jaguars have 41%."

This updated Jaguars vs. Raiders betting preview builds on my early Jaguars vs. Raiders prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Jaguars vs. Raiders predictions page.

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Jaguars vs. Raiders Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 16 matchup between the Raiders and Jaguars at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:25PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Jaguars vs. Raiders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Jacksonville vs. Las Vegas picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Jaguars vs. Raiders Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Jaguars and Raiders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Raiders a 59% chance of beating the Jaguars in Week 16 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Raiders winning 21-19.

According to our model, the Raiders (-2) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Along with our Jaguars vs. Raiders predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:

Jaguars vs. Raiders Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Jaguars Raiders
Spread +2 (-108) -2 (-112)
Moneyline +118 -125
Total o41.5 (-108) u41.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jaguars vs. Raiders Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Jaguars vs. Raiders matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Jaguars vs. Raiders TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs. Raiders?

According to our model, Las Vegas' Brock Bowers is most likely to score the first TD in Jaguars vs. Raiders.

Our projections give Bowers a 13.4% chance of getting in for six first at Allegiant Stadium, while the Raiders TE is a 49.6% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player First TD Probability
Brian Thomas 10.9%
Tank Bigsby 10.0%
Travis Etienne 8.1%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player First TD Probability
Brock Bowers 13.4%
Jakobi Meyers 12.2%
Alexander Mattison 9.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player Anytime TD Probability
Brian Thomas 42.9%
Tank Bigsby 39.3%
Travis Etienne 33.8%

Las Vegas Raiders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Brock Bowers 49.6%
Jakobi Meyers 45.8%
Alexander Mattison 38.2%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 16 touchdown scorer predictions

Jaguars vs Raiders Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jaguars and Raiders. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Jaguars-Raiders page now to access every player prop projection.

Jaguars vs. Raiders Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Mac Jones is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Raiders' Aidan O'Connell.

Jaguars Rushing

Travis Etienne, Tank Bigsby and Mac Jones are projected to be the leading rushers for the Jaguars.

Player Position
Travis Etienne RB
Tank Bigsby RB
Mac Jones QB

Raiders Rushing

Alexander Mattison, Ameer Abdullah and Aidan O'Connell are expected to lead the Raiders in rushing yards.

Player Position
Alexander Mattison RB
Ameer Abdullah RB
Aidan O'Connell QB

Jaguars Receiving

Brian Thomas, Brenton Strange, Parker Washington, Travis Etienne and Luke Farrell are projected to top the receiving yards for the Jaguars.

Player Position
Brian Thomas WR
Brenton Strange TE
Parker Washington WR
Travis Etienne RB
Luke Farrell TE

Raiders Receiving

Jakobi Meyers, Brock Bowers, Tre Tucker, Ameer Abdullah and Michael Mayer are projected to lead the Raiders in receiving yards.

Player Position
Jakobi Meyers WR
Brock Bowers TE
Tre Tucker WR
Ameer Abdullah RB
Michael Mayer TE

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Conclusion

We predict the Raiders, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Jaguars in Week 16 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jaguars vs. Raiders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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