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Rockets vs. Suns prediction: Phoenix to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Tuesday's NBA matchup [4/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Tuesday.
NBA action continues on Tuesday at 11:00 PM ET as the Houston Rockets take on the Phoenix Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model gives the Suns a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Rockets.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature players like Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks, while the Rockets will look to Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's Rockets vs. Suns matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Rockets vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA game between the Rockets and Suns, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Suns a 54% chance of beating the Rockets. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 111-110.
According to our model, the Suns (-1) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 221.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Rockets vs. Suns odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1 (-112) | -1 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -108 | -108 |
| Total | o221.5 (-105) | u221.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockets vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns -1 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Suns | -108 |
| Total | Over 221.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Suns to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rockets vs. Suns player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Rockets vs. Suns matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 25 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Rockets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 26 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 46 |
| Alperen Sengun | 18 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 44 |
| Amen Thompson | 18 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 41 |
| Jabari Smith | 15 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Reed Sheppard | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 44 |
| Jalen Green | 19 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 35 |
| Dillon Brooks | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Grayson Allen | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 26 |
| Mark Williams | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
Rockets vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Suns and Rockets at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to start at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Tuesday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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