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Rockets vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Monday.
The Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets will lock horns in NBA action at Ball Arena on Monday, starting at 9:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, while the Rockets will look to Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Rockets vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Rockets and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Nuggets a 57% chance of beating the Rockets. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 118-116.
According to our model, the Nuggets (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 236.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Rockets vs. Nuggets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-112) | -1.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -102 | -112 |
| Total | o236.5 (-110) | u236.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockets vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -1.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -112 |
| Total | Under 236.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.
Rockets vs. Nuggets player props
Looking for Houston vs. Denver NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets with 25 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 27 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Rockets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 25 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 43 |
| Alperen Sengun | 21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 46 |
| Amen Thompson | 17 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 40 |
| Jabari Smith | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Reed Sheppard | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 27 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 61 |
| Jamal Murray | 24 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 43 |
| Cameron Johnson | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Peyton Watson | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
| Tim Hardaway | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
Rockets vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Nuggets and Rockets at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:30PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Monday, December 15, 2025
- Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Monday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 61 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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