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Final Masters 2025 Predictions and Updated Odds

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Scottie Scheffler strengthens his lead in Dimers’ final 2025 Masters predictions, with updated odds, tee times, and weather now factored into the model.

Scottie Scheffler Masters 2025.
Scottie Scheffler is favored to win his third Masters in four years.

The 2025 Masters tees off today, and Dimers’ final predictions are live. With Augusta National once again in the spotlight, today’s model update reflects the most important factors—confirmed tee times, forecasted weather, and movement in the odds markets.

Scottie Scheffler entered the week as the favorite—and now, as he approach opening tee times, he's widened the gap. The final model update shows an increase in his win probability, solidifying his status as the man to beat. Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, and Justin Thomas round out a tightly packed second tier.

Masters 2025 Predictions: Who Will Win and Wear the Green Jacket?

Dimers' predictive analytics model gives Scottie Scheffler a 16.0% chance to winup from 14.9% earlier this week, and by far the highest in the field. The rest of the top five remains stable, though Jon Rahm has gained slightly due to more favorable tee-time conditions and recent market support.

PlayerWin Probability
Scottie Scheffler (🇺🇸)16.0% (+1.1%)
Rory McIlroy (🇮🇪)7.0% (+0.1%)
Collin Morikawa (🇺🇸)7.0% (-0.2%)
Jon Rahm (🇪🇸)5.9% (+0.1%)
Justin Thomas (🇺🇸)3.3% (-0.6%)

Scheffler’s combination of elite ball-striking, Augusta experience, and ideal pairing setup for Thursday morning makes him the clear frontrunner across both modeling and market consensus.

Rory McIlroy follows through on a drive at the 2025 Masters Tournament in Augusta, Georgia.
Rory McIlroy is seeking to complete his career Grand Slam with a long-awaited victory at Augusta.

Top-10 Finish Predictions

Scheffler also leads the way in top-10 finish probability, with nearly a 6-in-10 chance of placing among the leaders. Collin Morikawa and Rory McIlroy are neck-and-neck behind him, while Jon Rahm saw a meaningful boost from earlier in the week.

PlayerTop 10 Probability
Scottie Scheffler (🇺🇸)57.5% (+0.9%)
Collin Morikawa (🇺🇸)41.6% (+0.4%)
Rory McIlroy (🇮🇪)40.2% (-0.2%)
Jon Rahm (🇪🇸)38.3% (+1.0%)
Justin Thomas (🇺🇸)28.7% (-0.6%)

While Scheffler continues to pace the field, Rahm is trending upward as he looks to bounce back at Augusta after a quieter early season.

Full list of probabilities available to Dimers Pro users.

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Latest Bet365 Odds for the Masters

As of Thursday morning, Bet365’s markets are largely in sync with Dimers’ model. Scheffler and McIlroy lead the way, with Morikawa and Rahm offering value compared to their implied odds. Meanwhile, Bryson DeChambeau and Ludvig Åberg remain outside the model’s top five but sit inside the top 10 on the odds board—both featured in Dimers' Head-to-Head Masters Parlay.

PlayerWin OnlyTop 10 (Inc. Ties)
Scottie Scheffler (🇺🇸)+470-200
Rory McIlroy (🇮🇪)+675-143
Collin Morikawa (🇺🇸)+1500+130
Jon Rahm (🇪🇸)+1500+130
Bryson DeChambeau (🇺🇸)+1700+150
Ludvig Åberg (🇸🇪)+1900+160
Justin Thomas (🇺🇸)+2200+187
Xander Schauffele (🇺🇸)+2400+190
Hideki Matsuyama (🇯🇵)+3000+230
Joaquin Niemann (🇨🇱)+3000+230

Morikawa and Rahm, in particular, may present value opportunities for bettors based on the gap between their odds and modeled win probability. Keep an eye on early round performance for any movement.

Key Tee Times for Round 1

The 2025 Masters tee times were officially released earlier this week, with today's featured groups listed below:

  • 9:47 AM ET: Collin Morikawa, Joaquin Niemann, Min Woo Lee
  • 10:15 AM ET: Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, Jose Luis Ballester
  • 1:12 PM ET: Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Åberg, Akshay Bhatia
  • 1:34 PM ET: Jon Rahm, Wyndham Clark, Tommy Fleetwood

Betting Guides for the Masters

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Conclusion: Can Scheffler Go Back-to-Back?

The model, the sportsbooks, and recent form all point to Scottie Scheffler as the golfer to watch this week at Augusta. But this is the Masters—anything can happen. If Scheffler falters, look for McIlroy, Morikawa, or Rahm to make a move.

Stay with Dimers throughout the weekend for live updates, model refreshes, and projected cut line alerts as Round 1 gets underway.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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