Dinger Tuesday Picks: Our Best Home Run Bets for May 13 Include Aaron Judge

If you're wondering "who will hit a home run today," then you've come to the right place!

The 2025 MLB season is heating up, and while FanDuel's Dinger Tuesday promo has scaled back its weekly bonus for this season, Dinger Tuesday still offers a solid opportunity for bettors looking to profit—especially when paired with the power of Dimers Pro.

If you're new to MLB betting, Dinger Tuesday is FanDuel's long-running home run–themed promotion that drops every Tuesday during the MLB season. While this year's version doesn’t offer the same bonus bet payout per home run as last season, it still packs a punch for smart bettors using our best home run props.

We cashed our two-legger a couple weeks ago, and went 1 for 1 with Ohtani last week after one of our bets voided. Let's keep rolling!

✅ Gunnar/Ohtani

Cash the boosted +3661 dinger parlay 🥳 https://t.co/cpTVJouWTW

— Dimers.com (@DimersCom) April 30, 2025

How to Play Dinger Tuesday

Opt in to the Dinger Tuesday promo on FanDuel to receive a pair of 50% Profit Boost Tokens to apply to any “To Hit a Home Run” wager for that Tuesday's MLB games. You can use the Profit Boost on any eligible straight or parlay home run prop—just note that there’s a maximum bet limit and a few restrictions (bonus funds, odds boosts, and cash-outs are ineligible).

New users at FanDuel can also score $200 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager placed on the sportsbook wins, which can be claimed via the offer below.

Say you use your Profit Boost Token on a +400 home run prop for Mookie Betts. Your 50% Profit Boost Token turns that into a +600 bet, meaning a $25 wager will now win $150 instead of $100.

It’s a one-time shot, but for those using Dimers Pro to identify high-value HR props, it can be a sneaky-profitable Tuesday edge.

We’ve also crafted a Dinger Tuesday betting guide to help you squeeze every bit of value out of this promo with Dimers Pro, so check out our Top 3 strategy tips below our HR picks as well.

Dimers Pro gives you access to daily HR prop predictions beyond just Dinger Tuesday—dozens of options on packed slates like today's—and highlights which bets carry positive expected value against the sportsbooks. Even with this year’s more limited promo, that edge can turn a single swing into a big payday.

Get 20% off Dimers Pro with code 20BASEBALL

Get Dimers Pro

Best Home Run Bets Today - May 13

As mentioned, Dimers Pro users get a healthy dose of opportunities for Dinger Tuesday, as we have dozens of home runs props available each day and today's 15-game slate is no exception.

There are a number of games potentially impacted by inclement weather, so we'll be ignoring those and only prioritizing the games with clear skies or being played in a dome.

As a result, we'll be heading West for our two picks.

Below, you will find our top overall Home Run probability featuring our most likely home urn hitter of the day, and our best Home Run value prop - the bet with the most value in the odds.

Dimers Pro users can access every single home run prop with value here, which will allow you to sort by probability, value or individual games. We also drop our Top 25 Home Run Probabilities in our Dimers Pro VIP Discord every day, where are users are cooking up winning ticket after winning ticket.

For a longshot, you can play both of these home run picks together for a juicy parlay at +2919 odds, up from +1946 with the Dinger Tuesday boost.

Most Likely to Hit a Home Run: Aaron Judge (Yankees)

• Game: Yankees vs. Mariners
• Dimers Probability: 22.7%
• FanDuel Odds: +230
• 50% Boosted Odds: +346

We're going with MLB's co-leader for home runs, Aaron Judge, who gets odds that aren't so insane and we can actually bet on him today.

Judge has smacked 14 home runs this season and boasts a .783 SLG. He is in the elite levels of MLB sluggers, ranking in the 100th or 99th percentile in five hitting categories. His 14 HR would actually be 16 when adjust for the Mariners park, which lines up in our favor with this game on the road.

He'll face Mariners starter Bryan Woo, who's been pretty good at limiting home runs this season, allowing 1 of his 4 to righties like Judge. However, he primarily throws a sinker and 4-seam, two of Judge's best pitches with 11 of his HR coming off fastball types as well.

Dimers 22.7% probability plants him in the top tier of our overall HR list for today, and lines up with his boosted odds of +346.

Best Value Home Run: Mookie Betts (Dodgers)

• Game: Dodgers vs. Athletics
• Dimers Probability: 17.1%
• FanDuel Odds: +520
• 50% Boosted Odds: +780

We're going back to Mookie Betts who was scratched last week when we had him lined up for Dinger Tuesday.

This week, he gets a 17.1% probability to go yard vs. the A's tonight. The A's starter is TBD but looks like it could be Jeffrey Springs, who despite his decent Barrel % and strong Hard Hit %, has allowed 6 HR to righties in 32.1 innings.

He leans heavily on a 4-seamer with a 44% usage rate, followed by a Slider (26%) and Changeup (24%) - Betts has a positive run value and is slugging over .500 vs. those three pitches combined.

After a couple weeks without a homer, he went yard in his most recent game and will look to get hot.

Dinger Tuesday Home Run Parlay Picks

For those looking to play a longshot, pair these two bets for a +2919 home run parlay, up from +1946 odds pre-boost.

Dinger Tuesday HR Parlay (Boosted from +1946)

+2919

Bet $10
Payout $301.90Bet $10, Payout $301.90

Dinger Tuesday Strategy Guide

If you're looking to make your own selections, consider these tips to help you narrow down your targets from the list of many potential sluggers on Tuesday.

1. High Probabilities

This method is as straightforward as it comes. Bet on the player with the highest probability to hit a home run in any game or multiple games

If you choose this method, then you'll often be betting on star players like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Fernando Tatis Jr., etc at shorter odds. This is a lower upside method, but you'll be backing players who are likely contend for the top of the HR list at the end of the season.

Dimers Pro users can sort by home run props here and use the probability to filter to find only the highest probabilities that come with some value, or pop into the Dimers Pro Discord where we release our Top 25 HR Probabilities every day.

2. Maximum Value

The second strategy we'll look at is to back players with edges in their odds. These are often going to be higher risk, lower probability plays, but they will return big profits if they win.

You'll find these high-value home run props at the top of our home run edges each and every Tuesday, though you may not always find the best odds on FanDuel. That's a very important distinction, because if the value in a particular home run prop is only on an other book, then it may not be a play worth making for Dinger Tuesday since you must place that bet on FanDuel to use your profit boost.

Even still, you can find value on players with high probabilities, or take a shot on an already longer odds play, boosted even higher by a 50% boost.

3. Do the Extra Research

The best way to use Dimers Pro is alongside the wealth of MLB statistics out there. Weather, pitch types, ballparks, head-to-head matchups...these are just a handful of the factors that can weigh into home run props. 

Some key factors to look at when making your home run picks:

• Matchup: Your batter's success against the starting pitcher's varying pitch types
• Bullpens: When the starter gets pulled, which teams relievers are serving up dingers?
• Ballpark Factors: Short porch? Elevation boost? Not all parks are built equal
• Head-to-Head History: What has a batter done vs. the starter in the past
• Weather: Cold: bad. Wind: good (in the right direction). Always check the weather reports

With dozens of props available on Dimers Pro, it's always good to check on these other data points to help you narrow down which bets to make.

FanDuel Sportsbook Disclaimer

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org  or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit  FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit  ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit  ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit  www.mdgamblinghelp.org  (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Set limits on time and money spent, and never chase losses. Understand the risks and make informed decisions. Know when to take breaks and seek support if needed. Remember, responsible gambling is about having fun while maintaining control.