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Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Medvedev vs Marozsan predictions for 2026 Australian Open.
Daniil Medvedev will square off with Fabian Marozsan in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Medvedev vs. Marozsan match.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Medvedev vs. Marozsan prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Medvedev-Marozsan men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Medvedev an 83% chance of beating Marozsan in the 2026 Australian Open.
Additionally, Medvedev has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medvedev (-6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 36.5 games has a 60% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -457 | +400 |
| First Set | -303 | +240 |
| Game Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o36.5 (-115) | u36.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Medvedev vs. Marozsan picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Medvedev | -457 |
| First Set | Marozsan | -125 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniil Medvedev to win the first set.
Medvedev vs. Marozsan updates and essential details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan is scheduled to start on Thursday at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan
- Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: Third round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Daniil Medvedev, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Fabian Marozsan at the 2026 Australian Open.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Medvedev vs. Marozsan insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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