Alex de Minaur vs. Alex Molcan prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's de Minaur-Molcan men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives de Minaur a 79% chance of winning against Molcan at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alex Molcan +297, Alex de Minaur -357

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: de Minaur @ -357 via DraftKings
• First Set: Molcan @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alex de Minaur to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Alex de Minaur and Alex Molcan is scheduled to begin on Friday at 12:00 AM ET.

• Who: Alex de Minaur vs. Alex Molcan
• Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
• Approx. Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Alex Molcan at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.