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Mavericks vs. Kings prediction: Dallas favored to win Saturday's NBA game [12/27/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Sacramento Kings will face the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Golden 1 Center on Saturday, beginning at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Mavericks as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Kings game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature players like DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook and Maxime Raynaud, while the Mavericks will rely on Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington and Naji Marshall.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Mavericks a 60% chance of defeating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 117-114.
According to our model, the Mavericks (-3) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 233.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Kings odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-108) | +3 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +125 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks -3 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | -142 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks to win.
Mavericks vs. Kings player props
NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Mavericks vs. Kings matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.
Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists, while DeMar DeRozan is projected to have 21 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Kings.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 23 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 43 |
| P.J. Washington | 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| Naji Marshall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Klay Thompson | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 25 |
Kings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 37 |
| R. Westbrook | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 43 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
| Dennis Schroder | 14 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 29 |
| P. Achiuwa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
Mavs vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Kings and Mavericks at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Conclusion
We predict the Mavericks, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Saturday, with Russell Westbrook projected for a game-high 43 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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