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Mavericks vs. Bucks prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [1/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Milwaukee Bucks will square off with the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Fiserv Forum on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Bucks as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Bucks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Bucks lineup will feature stars like Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis and Kyle Kuzma, while the Mavericks will rely on Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams and Max Christie.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Bucks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Bucks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Bucks a 60% chance of beating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Bucks winning 110-107.
According to our model, the Bucks (-3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 218.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Bucks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-118) | -3.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | o218.5 (-110) | u218.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Bucks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks -3.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Bucks | -142 |
| Total | Under 218.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Bucks -3.5 at the spread.
Mavericks vs. Bucks player props
NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Sunday's Dallas vs. Milwaukee game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Fiserv Forum.
Naji Marshall is expected to lead the Mavericks with 19 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Ryan Rollins is projected to have 20 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Bucks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 37 |
| B. Williams | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 31 |
| Max Christie | 16 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 30 |
| P.J. Washington | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Daniel Gafford | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
Bucks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Bucks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins | 20 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 43 |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 32 |
| Myles Turner | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| AJ Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24 |
Mavs vs. Bucks game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Bucks and Mavericks at Fiserv Forum is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Conclusion
We predict the Bucks, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Sunday, with Ryan Rollins projected for a game-high 43 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Bucks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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