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Mavericks vs. Cavaliers prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [3/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will take on the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Rocket Arena on Sunday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Mavericks vs. Cavaliers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature players like Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Evan Mobley, while the Mavericks will rely on Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Brandon Williams.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Mavs vs. Cavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Mavericks and Cavaliers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers an 86% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 123-110.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+14.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mavericks | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-102) | -14.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +750 | -1200 |
| Total | o234.5 (-108) | u234.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +14.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +750 |
| Total | Under 234.5 | -112 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +14.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers player props
Betting on Mavericks vs. Cavaliers NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.
Cooper Flagg is expected to lead the Mavericks with 21 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Donovan Mitchell is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Cavaliers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Mavericks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 40 |
| Naji Marshall | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| B. Williams | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| P.J. Washington | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
| Marvin Bagley | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
Cavaliers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Cavaliers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 27 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 48 |
| James Harden | 23 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 47 |
| Evan Mobley | 19 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 43 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Thomas Bryant | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
Mavs vs. Cavs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Cavaliers and Mavericks at Rocket Arena is scheduled to commence at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Sunday, with Donovan Mitchell projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mavericks vs. Cavaliers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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