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Cavaliers vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Saturday's NBA matchup [12/27/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets predictions for NBA Saturday.
NBA action continues on Saturday at 8:00 PM ET as the Cleveland Cavaliers lock horns with the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Rockets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature players like Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson, while the Cavaliers will be led by Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland and Evan Mobley.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Cavs vs. Rockets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Cavaliers and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rockets a 63% chance of defeating the Cavaliers. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 118-114.
According to our model, the Rockets (-4) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Cavaliers vs. Rockets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cavaliers | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4 (-110) | -4 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +146 | -174 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cavaliers vs. Rockets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rockets -4 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Rockets | -174 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Rockets to win.
Cavaliers vs. Rockets player props
Betting on Cavaliers vs. Rockets NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 27 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Rockets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Cavaliers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 27 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 46 |
| Darius Garland | 19 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 38 |
| Evan Mobley | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 32 |
| De'Andre Hunter | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
| Jarrett Allen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27 |
Rockets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 27 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 47 |
| Alperen Sengun | 20 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 47 |
| Amen Thompson | 18 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 41 |
| Jabari Smith | 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Reed Sheppard | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Cavs vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Rockets and Cavaliers at Toyota Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Cavaliers on Saturday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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