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Browns vs. Bengals Prediction: Cincinnati Predicted to Win in NFL Week 16 [2024]
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals matchup.
The Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns will meet in Week 16 of the NFL season at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Bengals as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Cleveland-Cincinnati game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bengals with a win probability of 81%, while the Browns have 19%."
This updated Browns vs. Bengals betting preview builds on my early Browns vs. Bengals prediction that I published at the start of the week.
For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Browns vs. Bengals predictions page.
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Browns vs. Bengals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 16 game between the Bengals and Browns at Paycor Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Date: Sunday, December 22, 2024
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Paycor Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Bengals and Browns gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Browns vs. Bengals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Cleveland vs. Cincinnati picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Browns vs. Bengals Predictions
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Browns and Bengals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Bengals an 81% chance of defeating the Browns in Week 16 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bengals winning 28-18.
According to our model, the Bengals (-9.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 45.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Along with our Browns vs. Bengals predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:
Browns vs. Bengals Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Browns | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-104) | -9.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +425 | -510 |
| Total | o45.5 (-110) | u45.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Browns vs. Bengals Picks
Our model's biggest edge in today's Browns vs. Bengals matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Browns vs. Bengals TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Browns vs. Bengals?
According to our model, Cincinnati's Chase Brown is most likely to score the first TD in Browns vs. Bengals.
Our projections give Brown a 16.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Paycor Stadium, while the Bengals RB is a 60.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jerome Ford | 7.3% |
| Jerry Jeudy | 7.0% |
| David Njoku | 5.8% |
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown | 16.2% |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 13.4% |
| Tee Higgins | 8.6% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jerome Ford | 33.5% |
| Jerry Jeudy | 33.3% |
| David Njoku | 27.5% |
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown | 60.8% |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 54.7% |
| Tee Higgins | 38.3% |
For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 16 touchdown scorer predictions
Browns vs Bengals Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Browns and Bengals. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Browns-Bengals page now to access every player prop projection.
Browns vs. Bengals Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Dorian Thompson-Robinson is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bengals' Joe Burrow.
Browns Rushing
Jerome Ford, Dorian Thompson-Robinson and Pierre Strong are projected to be the leading rushers for the Browns.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jerome Ford | RB |
| Dorian Thompson-Robinson | QB |
| Pierre Strong | RB |
Bengals Rushing
Chase Brown, Khalil Herbert and Joe Burrow are expected to lead the Bengals in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown | RB |
| Khalil Herbert | RB |
| Joe Burrow | QB |
Browns Receiving
Jerry Jeudy, David Njoku, Elijah Moore, Jerome Ford and Michael Woods are projected to top the receiving yards for the Browns.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | WR |
| David Njoku | TE |
| Elijah Moore | WR |
| Jerome Ford | RB |
| Michael Woods | WR |
Bengals Receiving
Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Andrei Iosivas, Chase Brown and Mike Gesicki are projected to lead the Bengals in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR |
| Tee Higgins | WR |
| Andrei Iosivas | WR |
| Chase Brown | RB |
| Mike Gesicki | TE |
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Conclusion
We predict the Bengals, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 16 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Browns vs. Bengals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL betting news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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