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Browns vs. Bears prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win in NFL Week 15 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Chicago Bears and Cleveland Browns are scheduled to meet in Week 15 of the NFL season at Soldier Field on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Bears as the most likely winner of the Browns vs. Bears game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Browns vs. Bears prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Browns-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Browns and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Bears a 78% chance of defeating the Browns in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 22-15.
According to our model, the Browns (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 38.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 15 straight up picks.
Browns vs. Bears odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Browns | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +315 | -375 |
| Total | o38.5 (-104) | u38.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Browns vs. Bears picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns +7.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Bears | -375 |
| Total | Over 38.5 | -104 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Browns +7.5 at the spread.
Browns vs. Bears TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Browns vs. Bears?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 15, Quinshon Judkins is most likely to score an anytime TD in Browns vs. Bears.
Our projections give Judkins a 53.6% chance of getting in for six at Soldier Field, while the running back is an 11.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins (RB) | 53.6% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 32.0% |
| Cedric Tillman (WR) | 25.3% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 20.8% |
| Raheim Sanders (RB) | 19.7% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Monangai (RB) | 41.4% |
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 38.7% |
| Rome Odunze (WR) | 27.1% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 25.7% |
| Colston Loveland (TE) | 23.0% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins (RB) | 11.8% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 5.9% |
| Cedric Tillman (WR) | 4.5% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 3.6% |
| Raheim Sanders (RB) | 3.4% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Monangai (RB) | 10.8% |
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 9.9% |
| Rome Odunze (WR) | 6.4% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 6.0% |
| Colston Loveland (TE) | 5.3% |
Browns vs Bears player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Browns and Bears. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 15 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Shedeur Sanders is projected to have a quiet game with 183 passing yards. The Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 195 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Shedeur Sanders (CLE) | 183 |
| Caleb Williams (CHI) | 195 |
Browns rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins | 74 |
| Shedeur Sanders | 14 |
| Raheim Sanders | 13 |
Bears rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Kyle Monangai | 56 |
| D'Andre Swift | 55 |
| Caleb Williams | 20 |
Browns receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Harold Fannin | 50 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 41 |
| Cedric Tillman | 23 |
| Isaiah Bond | 21 |
| Quinshon Judkins | 14 |
Bears receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Rome Odunze | 42 |
| Luther Burden | 34 |
| Colston Loveland | 33 |
| DJ Moore | 33 |
| Cole Kmet | 18 |
Browns vs. Bears game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 15 action between the Bears and Browns at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
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Conclusion
We predict the Bears, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Browns vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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