Bears vs. Eagles prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Black Friday NFL matchup, 2025

The Philadelphia Eagles will face the Chicago Bears in NFL Black Friday action at Lincoln Financial Field on Friday, commencing at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Eagles as the most likely winner of the Bears vs. Eagles game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Bears vs. Eagles prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Bears-Eagles predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NFL matchup between the Bears and Eagles 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Eagles a 74% chance of beating the Bears in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Eagles winning 24-18.

According to our model, the Bears (+7) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 13 straight up picks.

Bears vs. Eagles odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bears	Eagles
Spread	+7 (+100)	-7 (-110)
Moneyline	+330	-340
Total	o43.5 (-104)	u43.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bears vs. Eagles picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Bears +7	+100
Moneyline	Bears	+330
Total	Over 43.5	-104

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears +7 at the spread.

Bears vs. Eagles TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Bears vs. Eagles?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Jalen Hurts is most likely to score an anytime TD in Bears vs. Eagles.

Our projections give Hurts a 48.2% chance of getting in for six at Lincoln Financial Field, while the quarterback is an 11.9% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	32.0%
Kyle Monangai (RB)	31.3%
Rome Odunze (WR)	28.5%
DJ Moore (WR)	20.3%
Colston Loveland (TE)	20.1%

Philadelphia Eagles

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jalen Hurts (QB)	48.2%
Saquon Barkley (RB)	47.1%
A.J. Brown (WR)	38.4%
Dallas Goedert (TE)	32.9%
DeVonta Smith (WR)	32.6%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	6.8%
Kyle Monangai (RB)	6.7%
Rome Odunze (WR)	6.0%
DJ Moore (WR)	4.0%
Colston Loveland (TE)	4.0%

Philadelphia Eagles

Player	First TD Probability
Jalen Hurts (QB)	11.9%
Saquon Barkley (RB)	11.5%
A.J. Brown (WR)	8.7%
Dallas Goedert (TE)	7.2%
DeVonta Smith (WR)	7.1%

Bears vs Eagles player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bears and Eagles. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 13 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected for 211 passing yards. The Eagles' Jalen Hurts is expected to throw for 215 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Caleb Williams (CHI)	211
Jalen Hurts (PHI)	215

Bears rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
D'Andre Swift	45
Kyle Monangai	38
Caleb Williams	26

Eagles rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Saquon Barkley	79
Jalen Hurts	37
Tank Bigsby	17

Bears receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Rome Odunze	52
Luther Burden	40
DJ Moore	39
Colston Loveland	35
Cole Kmet	16

Eagles receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
A.J. Brown	63
DeVonta Smith	60
Dallas Goedert	41
Saquon Barkley	22
Jahan Dotson	14

Bears vs. Eagles game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 13 game between the Eagles and Bears at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to start at 3:00PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Bears vs. Philadelphia Eagles
• Date: Friday, November 28, 2025 (Black Friday)
• Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Eagles, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 13 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bears vs. Eagles insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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